Lesotho vs Morocco

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Morocco favourites at 59% (Lesotho 18%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.56 to 0.70 and 6 wins in Morocco's last 10 matches to 2 for Lesotho. It put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 40%. Morocco won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Nov 2024, when Morocco won 7-0.