Finland vs Belarus

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Finland favourites at 53% (Belarus 26%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 1.19 and 2 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 54%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 9 Jun 2018, when Finland won 2-0.
• Only 1 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.