Hartlepool vs Harrogate

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 70% (Hartlepool 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.21 to 0.80 and 6 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 2 for Hartlepool. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 59%. Harrogate won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Hartlepool have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 28 Jul 2023, when Harrogate won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.