San Marino vs Albania

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Albania favourites at 77% (San Marino 8%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.22 to 0.54, 5 wins in Albania's last 10 matches to 0 for San Marino and 4 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 28%. Albania won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• San Marino have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 8 Sept 2021, when Albania won 5-0.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.