Czech Republic vs England

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made England favourites at 50% (Czech Republic 31%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.20 to 1.71 and 7 wins in England's last 10 matches to 4 for Czech Republic. It put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 66%. England won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 22 Jun 2021, when England won 1-0.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.