SMOANCE
Match Intelligence
Picks
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Human and AI tracked daily card

Recordedmatch positions.

A focused selection across football, tennis, basketball and baseball. Every pick is clearly attributed to SMOANCE Human, ChatGPT or Claude and permanently tracked after settlement.

Selected date

Sunday, August 9, 2026

Editorial date · Europe/Istanbul

Selected-date picks

36

Date record

22-11

Date hit rate

67%

Date units

-9.3

Sunday, August 9, 2026 · Claude · All sports · All results · 2 pending · 1 void

All-time performance

Permanent published record

Claude · All sports · All dates

Published picks

1883

Record

1343-489

Settled hit rate

73%

Flat-stake units

-428.6

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Daily board

Published selections

01
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Charlotte Independ. vs Greenville

Charlotte Independ.

FormWWLLD
vs

Greenville

FormDWLLL
Country
Usa
League
USL League One
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 02:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Charlotte Independ. to win

Final result

1-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 70%. Charlotte are 6W-2D-2L with 2.43 goals per home game, Greenville are 2W-2D-6L and have scored 0.6 per away game with zero both-teams-to-score in five, and Charlotte won the most recent meeting 1-0. Main risk: the head-to-head is close at 6-4 and Greenville won 5-4 at Charlotte in August 2025, so this fixture has produced upsets.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Charlotte Independ.73%
Draw15%
Greenville12%

USL League One

02:00 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
02
BaseballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Indianapolis Indians vs Iowa Cubs

Indianapolis Indians

FormLWLWL
vs

Iowa Cubs

FormWLWLL
Country
Usa
League
IL - Second stage
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 02:05 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Indianapolis Indians to win

Final result

16-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 68%. Indianapolis are 6-4 scoring 6.5 runs to 4.6 conceded, Iowa are 2-8 scoring 3.3 and conceding 7.3, and Indianapolis lead the head-to-head 6-4 having won the most recent meeting. Main risk: Triple-A lineups turn over constantly and Iowa took four of these ten meetings, so the sample is less stable than the records suggest.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set16-3
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Indianapolis Indians65%
Iowa Cubs35%

IL - Second stage

02:05 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
03
TennispendingsafeClaudeAuto

Sabalenka A. vs Alexandrova E.

Sabalenka A.

FormWWLWW
vs

Alexandrova E.

FormWWDLW
Country
Canada
Tournament
Toronto
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 02:10 GMT+3
Surface
Hard

Claude pick

  1. Sabalenka A. to win

Listed odds

1.15

Estimated probability: 82%. Sabalenka is 10-0 in her last ten hard-court matches, has dropped no sets in Toronto so far, and leads the head-to-head 6-3; Alexandrova is 4-5 on hard. Main risk: Alexandrova has beaten Sabalenka three times including Doha in 2025, so the matchup is less lopsided than the surface form suggests.

Published No edits
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Sabalenka A.86%
Alexandrova E.14%

Toronto

02:10 AM GMT+3

9 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
04
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Houston Dynamo 2 vs Real Monarchs

Houston Dynamo 2

FormLDWWW
vs

Real Monarchs

FormLLLWD
Country
Usa
League
MLS Next Pro
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 02:33 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Houston Dynamo 2 to win

Final result

3-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 70%. Houston average 2.25 scored to 0.75 conceded at home, Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-7L scoring just 0.5 per away game, and Houston have won six of the eight recorded meetings including 1-0 in April. Main risk: Houston are only 4W-2D-4L overall and lost 4-1 at Real Monarchs' hands in August 2025, so their form is inconsistent.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Houston Dynamo 281%
Draw12%
Real Monarchs7%

MLS Next Pro

02:33 AM GMT+3

8 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
05
BaseballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Salt Lake Bees vs Oklahoma City Dodgers

Salt Lake Bees

FormLLLLL
vs

Oklahoma City Dodgers

FormWWWWW
Country
Usa
League
PCL - Second stage
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 03:35 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Oklahoma City Dodgers to win

Final result

14-13

Verify result

Estimated probability: 71%. Oklahoma City are 8-2 scoring 7.6 runs to 4.1 conceded, Salt Lake are 0-10 scoring 3.6 and conceding 7.2, and Oklahoma City have won seven of the last ten meetings. Main risk: Salt Lake still took three of those ten head-to-heads and games in this series average 13.7 total runs, so high-scoring variance can swing a single game.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set14-13
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Salt Lake Bees23%
Oklahoma City Dodgers77%

PCL - Second stage

03:35 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
06
BasketballvoidbalancedClaudeAuto

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Blackwater Bossing

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

FormLWLWL
vs

Blackwater Bossing

FormLLLWW
Country
Philippines
League
PBA Governors' Cup
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 14:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel to win

Estimated probability: 69%. Ginebra have won nine of the last ten meetings including 115-85 in this conference, and Blackwater are 3-7 conceding 110.4 per game. Main risk: Ginebra are only 5-5 themselves and have lost three of their last five, and Blackwater score 106 per game so the margin can swing late.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Status: pendingvoid
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

PBA Governors' Cup

02:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
07
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Cottbus vs Hannover

Cottbus

FormLLWLL
vs

Hannover

FormWWWWD
Country
Germany
League
2. Bundesliga
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 14:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Over 2.5 goals

Final result

3-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 70%. Model puts over 2.5 at 71% with 4.09 combined expected goals; Cottbus have gone over in five of six home games while conceding 2.67 per game, and Hannover have gone over in seven of their last eight (3.2 scored, 0.8 conceded away). Main risk: the only recent H2H finished 1-0, and Cottbus can sit deep as a promoted side on opening day.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-1
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Cottbus15%
Draw15%
Hannover70%

2. Bundesliga

02:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
08
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Gent vs KV Mechelen

Gent

FormWDDWD
vs

KV Mechelen

FormDLLWW
Country
Belgium
League
Jupiler Pro League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 14:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Gent or draw

Final result

2-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 76%. Model gives Gent 60% win + 22% draw (82% double chance) with a 1.68-0.78 expected-goals edge, and KV Mechelen average only 0.83 scored and 1.67 conceded across their last six away games; Gent have conceded 0.33 per home game. Main risk: KV Mechelen won the last direct meeting 1-0 and three of the last six H2H ended level or in their favour.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Gent60%
Draw22%
KV Mechelen18%

Jupiler Pro League

02:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
09
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Malmo FF

FormWLDWW
vs

Degerfors

FormLLLLL
Country
Sweden
League
Allsvenskan
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 15:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Malmo FF to win

Final result

1-3

Verify result

Listed odds

1.52

Estimated probability: 70%. Model 78% high quality, Malmo score 2.8 per home game and Degerfors average 0.83 scored / 2.17 conceded on the road with one win in their last eight; Malmo also won the reverse fixture 1-0 and have lost none of the last six H2H. Main risk: Malmo's own home form is patchy (home defeat to Vasteras SK, draws with Midtjylland and Kalmar).

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-3
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Malmo FF75%
Draw14%
Degerfors11%

Allsvenskan

03:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
10
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Lugano vs Zurich

Lugano

FormWWWWW
vs

Zurich

FormWLLLL
Country
Switzerland
League
Super League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 15:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Lugano or draw

Final result

5-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 82%. Lugano have won the last three direct meetings with Zurich and are unbeaten at home in six (1.5 scored / 0.83 conceded); Zurich have lost five of their last eight including defeats to lower-tier Kriens, Sochaux and Lausanne Ouchy. Main risk: Zurich beat Lugano 3-0 in Lugano as recently as March 2025, so the away side is capable of a shock.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set5-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Lugano66%
Draw17%
Zurich17%

Super League

03:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
11
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Zwolle vs Ajax

Zwolle

FormLLWLL
vs

Ajax

FormWWWWW
Country
Netherlands
League
Eredivisie
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 15:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Ajax to win

Final result

0-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.45

Estimated probability: 67%. Model 69% matches the de-vigged market price of 65%, Ajax have won seven of their last eight while Zwolle have lost six of eight including 1-6 at PSV and 0-3 at Hannover; Zwolle concede 1.67 per home game. Main risk: the last meeting at Zwolle finished 0-0 and Zwolle won at Ajax in July 2024, so this is a fixture they raise their level for.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set0-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Zwolle14%
Draw15%
Ajax71%

Eredivisie

03:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
12
BasketballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Hanoi Buffaloes vs Da Nang Dragons

Hanoi Buffaloes

FormLWWWW
vs

Da Nang Dragons

FormLLLLL
Country
Vietnam
League
VBA
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 15:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Hanoi Buffaloes to win

Final result

120-91

Verify result

Estimated probability: 84%. Hanoi are 9-1 at 94.9 points for and 86.1 against; Da Nang are 0-10 at 79.5 for and 96.1 against, and Hanoi have won the last three meetings including 117-89 and 100-69. Main risk: Da Nang did beat Hanoi 121-96 earlier in the sample, and there is no market price to sanity-check the model's 92%.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set120-91
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

VBA

03:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
13
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia

Slask Wroclaw

FormWLWDW
vs

Cracovia

FormLDWWW
Country
Poland
League
Ekstraklasa
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 15:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Slask Wroclaw or draw

Final result

0-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 84%. Model gives Slask 69% win + 18% draw and their home record is excellent at 2.43 scored / 0.71 conceded over seven games, while Cracovia manage just 1.0 goal per away game. Main risk: Cracovia won 4-2 at Slask in October 2024 and arrive with strong friendly results against Sevilla and Basaksehir, and no market price is available as a sanity check.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set0-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Slask Wroclaw69%
Draw18%
Cracovia13%

Ekstraklasa

03:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
14
FootballlostsafeClaudeAuto

Zenit vs Rodina Moscow

Zenit

FormWWWDD
vs

Rodina Moscow

FormWLLLD
Country
Russia
League
Premier League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Zenit to win

Final result

1-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.17

Estimated probability: 76%. Zenit are unbeaten at home across eight games at 2.12 scored / 0.62 conceded and face a second-tier Rodina side that has been beaten 3-0 by Spartak and 0-5 by Akron this year. Main risk: Zenit have drawn three recent home games 1-1 and the model's 75% sits well below the market-implied 85%, so the price offers no cushion.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-2
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Zenit75%
Draw15%
Rodina Moscow10%

Premier League

05:00 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
15
FootballlostsafeClaudeAuto

Athletic Club vs Criciuma

Athletic Club

FormDWDDL
vs

Criciuma

FormDWWWW
Country
Brazil
League
Serie B
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Criciuma or draw

Final result

2-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 85%. Model gives Criciuma 62% win + 28% draw (90%); they are unbeaten in eight (1.5 scored / 0.5 conceded away) and have not lost to Athletic Club in the last three meetings (1-1, 1-1, 4-0 win). Main risk: Athletic Club concede only 0.6 per home game, so a narrow home win in a low-scoring Serie B fixture is a live outcome.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-0
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Athletic Club10%
Draw28%
Criciuma62%

Serie B

05:00 PM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
16
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Waregem vs Genk

Waregem

FormDWDWW
vs

Genk

FormWWLLL
Country
Belgium
League
Jupiler Pro League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Over 2.5 goals

Final result

2-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 71%. Model 76% with 3.89 combined expected goals; Waregem have seen over 2.5 in four of five home games and both teams scored in all five, while Genk concede 2.29 per away game. Main risk: Genk have kept it tight in two of their last three (2-1, 1-0 loss at Falkirk) and the H2H has produced under 2.5 in two of the last six.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-1
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Waregem52%
Draw19%
Genk29%

Jupiler Pro League

05:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
17
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Sion vs Vaduz

Sion

FormDWWLD
vs

Vaduz

FormLLWLW
Country
Switzerland
League
Super League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 17:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Sion to win

Final result

3-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.43

Estimated probability: 68%. Sion have scored 4.5 per game and conceded none across four home matches, and the model's 68% aligns with the de-vigged market price of 65%; Vaduz step up from the Challenge League. Main risk: Vaduz have taken points off Sion repeatedly (2-2, 3-3 and a 2-0 win in Sion in 2021) and are solid away at 1.14 conceded.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Sion70%
Draw15%
Vaduz15%

Super League

05:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
18
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Halmstad vs GAIS

Halmstad

FormLDLLL
vs

GAIS

FormLDWLW
Country
Sweden
League
Allsvenskan
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 17:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. GAIS or draw

Final result

0-2

Verify result

Estimated probability: 80%. GAIS are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Halmstad (two 1-1 draws this season plus 2-0, 3-0, 3-1 and 1-3 wins) and Halmstad have won none of their last eight, scoring 0.8 per home game. Main risk: GAIS are also poor on the road (0.8 scored, 2.4 conceded) so a Halmstad home win is not far-fetched.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set0-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Halmstad20%
Draw20%
GAIS60%

Allsvenskan

05:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
19
BasketballpendingsafeClaudeAuto

Lithuania U16 vs Romania U16

Lithuania U16

FormWLWWW
vs

Romania U16

FormLLLWL
Country
Europe
League
EuroBasket U16
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 18:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Lithuania U16 to win

Estimated probability: 83%. Lithuania are 7-3 at 86.0 points for including wins over Spain and Italy, Romania are 2-8 at 72.2 for and 86.2 against, and Lithuania won the only direct meeting 71-52. Main risk: Romania have just beaten Serbia 75-73 and the head-to-head sample is a single game with no market price available.

Published No edits
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

EuroBasket U16

06:00 PM GMT+3

1 recent head-to-head meeting available

Full match analysis
20
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Jablonec vs Slovacko

Jablonec

FormWWWWL
vs

Slovacko

FormDLLDW
Country
Czech Republic
League
Chance Liga
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 18:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Jablonec or draw

Final result

1-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 82%. Jablonec are unbeaten at home across seven games conceding just 0.29 per game, and are unbeaten in the last five H2H with Slovacko; Slovacko concede 2.33 per away game and were beaten 5-1 by Slavia and 3-1 by Skalica. Main risk: Jablonec score only 1.29 per home game, so a surprise away win on a single goal is the exposure.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Jablonec68%
Draw18%
Slovacko14%

Chance Liga

06:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
21
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice

Lech Poznan

FormWWLDW
vs

Piast Gliwice

FormWLLDW
Country
Poland
League
Ekstraklasa
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 18:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Lech Poznan or draw

Final result

3-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 83%. Model gives Lech 68% win + 18% draw; they are unbeaten at home against Piast in the recent series (3-0, 1-0, plus a 2-0 win in Gliwice) and Piast average only 0.5 goals per away game. Main risk: Piast beat Lech 1-0 in February and have kept three clean sheets against them in the last six, so a low-scoring away win is possible.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Lech Poznan65%
Draw19%
Piast Gliwice16%

Ekstraklasa

06:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
22
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Petrolul vs Otelul

Petrolul

FormLLWDD
vs

Otelul

FormDDWWD
Country
Romania
League
Superliga
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 18:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Otelul or draw

Final result

1-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 73%. Otelul are unbeaten in the last six meetings (four goalless draws plus 5-1 and 3-1 wins, both at Petrolul) and average 2.0 scored / 1.0 conceded away, while Petrolul concede 2.0 per home game. Main risk: the market prices this close to a coin flip (Otelul-or-draw around 66%), a far bigger draw-or-home share than the model's 83%.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-0
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Petrolul18%
Draw18%
Otelul64%

Superliga

06:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
23
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Cherno More vs Ludogorets

Cherno More

FormLLDDD
vs

Ludogorets

FormWDWLW
Country
Bulgaria
League
Efbet League
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Ludogorets or draw

Final result

2-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 79%. Ludogorets have lost only one of the last six meetings and Cherno More have won just one of their last eight, scoring 1.0 per home game. Main risk: Cherno More are a genuine bogey side here (2-0 winners in May 2025 and two 0-0 draws since), and Ludogorets' away sample in the data is only two games.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-3
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Cherno More18%
Draw22%
Ludogorets60%

Efbet League

07:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
24
BasketballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Germany U18 W vs Czech Republic U18 W

Germany U18 W

FormWWLLL
vs

Czech Republic U18 W

FormWWLWL
Country
Europe
League
EuroBasket U18 Women - Play Offs
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 19:15 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Germany U18 W to win

Final result

58-49

Verify result

Estimated probability: 74%. Germany have won all four recorded meetings including 51-36 in this tournament's group stage, and outscore Czech Republic 63.1 to 53.9 per game. Main risk: both teams are around .500 overall, Germany lost to Finland and Hungary in this event, and knockout games between evenly matched youth sides are volatile.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set58-49
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

EuroBasket U18 Women - Play Offs

07:15 PM GMT+3

4 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
25
TenniswonbalancedClaudeAuto

Samsonova L. vs Rybakina E.

Samsonova L.

FormWWWLW
vs

Rybakina E.

FormWWLWW
Country
Canada
Tournament
Toronto
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 19:40 GMT+3
Surface
Hard

Claude pick

  1. Rybakina E. to win

Final result

1-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.27

Estimated probability: 73%. Rybakina is 8-2 on hard with a +1.1 average set differential and has beaten Kasatkina and Li this week, while Samsonova is only 5-5 on the surface and needed three sets against Joint. The model's 81% and the de-vigged market price of 74% agree on the side. Main risk: Samsonova leads the head-to-head 4-2 and won four straight hard-court meetings between 2021 and 2023.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Samsonova L.19%
Rybakina E.81%

Toronto

07:40 PM GMT+3

6 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
26
FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

FC Porto vs Alverca

FC Porto

FormWWLWL
vs

Alverca

FormWLWWW
Country
Portugal
League
Liga Portugal
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Under 2.5 goals

Final result

2-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 80%. Model puts the total at 1.47 expected goals with under 2.5 at 77%; Porto have gone over 2.5 once in six home games (0.17 conceded) and every one of Alverca's last five away games finished with exactly one goal. Main risk: Porto are heavy favourites and a single early goal can open the game up into a 3-0 type scoreline.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-0
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

FC Porto57%
Draw31%
Alverca12%

Liga Portugal

08:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
27
BaseballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Worcester vs Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Worcester

FormWWWWL
vs

Lehigh Valley IronPigs

FormLLLLW
Country
Usa
League
IL - Second stage
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 20:05 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Worcester to win

Final result

6-7

Verify result

Estimated probability: 68%. Worcester are 9-1 at 7.5 runs for and 3.2 against and have taken four of five in this series including 19-0 and 10-1; Lehigh Valley are 4-6 at 4.0 for and 6.4 against. Main risk: Lehigh Valley won the most recent game of the series 10-5 and single baseball games carry high variance with no market price available.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set6-7
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Worcester75%
Lehigh Valley IronPigs25%

IL - Second stage

08:05 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
28
BasketballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Germany U16 vs France U16

Germany U16

FormWWWWL
vs

France U16

FormWWWLW
Country
Europe
League
EuroBasket U16
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 20:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. France U16 to win

Final result

58-87

Verify result

Estimated probability: 82%. France are 9-1 at 91.4 points for and 61.6 against versus Germany's 5-5, and France have won all six recorded meetings. Main risk: four of those six H2H wins were by six points or fewer, so Germany historically keep this close even when outgunned.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set58-87
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

EuroBasket U16

08:30 PM GMT+3

6 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
29
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Vestmannaeyjar

Vikingur Reykjavik

FormLDLWW
vs

Vestmannaeyjar

FormLLDLW
Country
Iceland
League
Besta deild karla
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 21:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Vikingur Reykjavik to win

Final result

2-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.29

Estimated probability: 70%. Model 70% matches the de-vigged market price of 72%; Vikingur score 2.75 per home game and won the reverse fixture 2-0, while Vestmannaeyjar concede 2.0 per away game and have lost three of their last five. Main risk: Vestmannaeyjar won 3-0 in the corresponding fixture in April 2025, so the H2H is not one-way.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set2-2
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Vikingur Reykjavik70%
Draw15%
Vestmannaeyjar15%

Besta deild karla

09:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
30
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Stjarnan

FormWLLWL
vs

Keflavik

FormWLWLD
Country
Iceland
League
Besta deild karla
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 21:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Both teams to score

Final result

1-0

Verify result

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 77% for BTTS; Keflavik have seen both teams score in all four away games while conceding 3.5 per game, and five of the last six H2H produced goals at both ends. Main risk: Stjarnan have kept clean sheets in a third of their home games and Keflavik have failed to score in two recent away trips.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-0
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Stjarnan51%
Draw19%
Keflavik30%

Besta deild karla

09:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
31
BaseballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

St. Paul vs Louisville Bats

St. Paul

FormWWWWW
vs

Louisville Bats

FormLLLLL
Country
Usa
League
IL - Second stage
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 22:07 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. St. Paul to win

Final result

3-11

Verify result

Estimated probability: 68%. St. Paul are 7-3 and have won nine of the last ten meetings with Louisville, sweeping the current series 4-1, 5-4, 4-1 and 15-5; Louisville are 2-8 conceding 6.5 runs per game. Main risk: three of those four wins were by three runs or fewer, so the gap is smaller than the record suggests and single games remain volatile.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-11
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

St. Paul71%
Louisville Bats29%

IL - Second stage

10:07 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
32
BasketballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Minnesota Lynx W vs Dallas Wings W

Minnesota Lynx W

FormWWWWW
vs

Dallas Wings W

FormWLLWW
Country
Usa
League
WNBA
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 22:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Minnesota Lynx W to win

Final result

103-90

Verify result

Listed odds

1.32

Estimated probability: 73%. Minnesota are 9-1 at 98.4 points per game and have won six straight against Dallas, four of them by 15 or more; the model's 75% sits just above the de-vigged market price of 72%. Main risk: Dallas are 6-4 and beat New York Liberty and the LA Sparks recently, and Minnesota lost at home to the Sparks in this run.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set103-90
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

The full match page is available; model percentages are still being calculated.

WNBA

10:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
33
TenniswonbalancedClaudeAuto

Korneeva A. vs Gauff C.

Korneeva A.

FormWWWWL
vs

Gauff C.

FormWWLWW
Country
Canada
Tournament
Toronto
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 22:50 GMT+3
Surface
Hard

Claude pick

  1. Gauff C. to win

Final result

0-2

Verify result

Listed odds

1.27

Estimated probability: 74%. Gauff is 8-1 on hard with a +1.22 set differential, has dropped no sets in Toronto and the model's 77% (high quality, 90% data confidence) matches the de-vigged market price of 74%. Main risk: Korneeva is 7-2 on hard with six straight-sets wins and has just beaten Navarro and Jovic, and there is no head-to-head to calibrate against.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set0-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Korneeva A.23%
Gauff C.77%

Toronto

10:50 PM GMT+3

Full match analysis
34
FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Connecticut FC vs New England Revolution II

Connecticut FC

FormWWWWW
vs

New England Revolution II

FormWDWDL
Country
Usa
League
MLS Next Pro
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 23:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Over 2.5 goals

Final result

1-2

Verify result

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 83%; Connecticut have gone over 2.5 in all seven home games at 2.71 scored / 1.57 conceded, and New England Revolution II have gone over in four of five away games at 2.4 scored. Main risk: the only two direct meetings finished 0-0 and 2-0, both under the line.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-2
    • Status: pendingwon
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Connecticut FC39%
Draw19%
New England Revolution II42%

MLS Next Pro

11:00 PM GMT+3

2 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
35
BaseballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Toledo Mud Hens vs Omaha Storm Chasers

Toledo Mud Hens

FormLLLLW
vs

Omaha Storm Chasers

FormWWWWL
Country
Usa
League
IL - Second stage
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 23:05 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Omaha Storm Chasers to win

Final result

3-1

Verify result

Estimated probability: 67%. Omaha are 6-4 conceding only 2.9 runs per game and have won seven of the last ten meetings including 10-3, 11-2 and 5-1 in this series; Toledo are 2-8 conceding 7.4. Main risk: Toledo took the most recent game 4-3 and Omaha's own form is uneven, having lost two of four to St. Paul.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set3-1
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Toledo Mud Hens27%
Omaha Storm Chasers73%

IL - Second stage

11:05 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis
36
FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Breidablik vs Valur

Breidablik

FormLWDWW
vs

Valur

FormLLDWL
Country
Iceland
League
Besta deild karla
Match time
Sun, Aug 09, 23:15 GMT+3

Claude pick

  1. Breidablik or draw

Final result

1-3

Verify result

Estimated probability: 77%. Model gives Breidablik 63% win + 19% draw; they are unbeaten at home against Valur (2-1 and 2-2 in the last two at this ground) and score 2.0 per home game, while Valur have lost four of their last eight. Main risk: Valur won the most recent meeting 3-2 and have beaten Breidablik twice in the last four, so this is a genuinely competitive fixture.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set1-3
    • Status: pendinglost
Permanent prediction page

Match intelligence

Breidablik63%
Draw19%
Valur18%

Besta deild karla

11:15 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

Full match analysis

Transparent tracking

Won, lost, void and pending selections all remain visible. Flat-stake units use one unit per pick and the listed decimal odds.

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Human and automated picks are informational opinions, not financial advice or guaranteed outcomes. If you choose to bet, use limits and only risk what you can afford to lose. 18+.

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