Zenit vs Rodina Moscow

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Zenit favourites at 75% (Rodina Moscow 10%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.31 to 0.69 and 7 wins in Zenit's last 10 matches to 5 for Rodina Moscow. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 43%. Rodina Moscow won 2-1, against the model's 75% for Zenit.

Key facts before the match

• Zenit have won 3 matches in a row.