Zwolle vs Ajax

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 67%. Model 69% matches the de-vigged market price of 65%, Ajax have won seven of their last eight while Zwolle have lost six of eight including 1-6 at PSV and 0-3 at Hannover; Zwolle concede 1.67 per home game. Main risk: the last meeting at Zwolle finished 0-0 and Zwolle won at Ajax in July 2024, so this is a fixture they raise their level for.