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Tennis · Toronto · Canada · hard

Sabalenka A. vs Alexandrova E.

Sunday, 09 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Sabalenka A.1-2Alexandrova E.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Sabalenka A. a 86% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 1 against No. 19 and 10 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Alexandrova E. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 86% for Sabalenka A.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 Jun 2026, when Sabalenka A. won 2-0.
Canada•WTA•Toronto•hard
Sabalenka A.
Age 28 · Rank #1
VS
Age 31 · Rank #19
Alexandrova E.
Sunday, 09 August 2026 at 02:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Sabalenka A.1-2Alexandrova E.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
4-6
Model win probability
Sabalenka A.Alexandrova E.
86%
14%
Head-to-head
5/94/9
43
9 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Sabalenka A.
86%
Alexandrova E.
14%
medium confidenceData 86%hard6 H2H used
◀ Sabalenka A.Why the model leansAlexandrova E. ▶
Ranking
+1.24
Surface
+0.75
Form
+0.55
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sabalenka A. Form
Sabalenka A.
07 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Zhang S.WTA #62
2-0W
05 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Uchijima M.WTA #111
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Osaka N.WTA #13
0-2L
03 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #29
2-0W
01 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Kessler M.WTA #48
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Kostovic T.WTA #150
2-0W
20 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
1-2L
19 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Bartunkova N.WTA #42
2-1W
17 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
2-0W
03 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Shnaider D.WTA #17
1-2L
Alexandrova E. Form
Alexandrova E.
06 Aug2026
Gibson T.WTA #74 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
1-2W
04 Aug2026
Osorio C.WTA #60 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
0-2W
28 Jul2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Liutova K.WTA #126
1-1D
03 Jul2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Jovic I.WTA #16
1-2L
01 Jul2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Tararudee L.WTA #79
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Udvardy P.WTA #76
2-0W
25 Jun2026
Osaka N.WTA #13 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
2-0L
24 Jun2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Andreeva M.WTA #5
2-0W
23 Jun2026
li A.WTA #31 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
1-2W
17 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
17 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
2-0
11 Feb2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
1-2
31 Aug2024
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
1-2
10 Jul2023
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
0-2
12 Jun2022
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
0-2
22 Oct2021
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
0-2
01 Feb2019
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
0-2
02 Jan2019
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
2-0
19 Mar2017
Alexandrova E.WTA #19 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
2-0

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