Cherno More vs Ludogorets

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ludogorets favourites at 60% (Cherno More 18%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 0.76 and 6 wins in Ludogorets's last 10 matches to 3 for Cherno More. It put over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 37%. Ludogorets won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Cherno More have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 9 Apr 2026, when it finished 0-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.