Recordedmatch positions.

New York City II vs New York Red Bulls II

Country

Usa

League

MLS Next Pro

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 00:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. All ten of Red Bulls II's last matches went over 2.5 and eight of NYC II's; the model has it at 77% (high quality) on 3.8 combined xG, and recent head-to-heads finished 3-2, 4-2 and 5-2. Main risk: NYC II have conceded only 0.5 per game at home lately, which could keep this tighter.

Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew 2

Country

Usa

League

MLS Next Pro

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 02:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Toronto hit both teams scoring in eight of their last ten (four of five at home), five of the last six head-to-heads saw both score, and the model is at 70% (high quality). Main risk: Columbus average only one goal per away game, so their side of the bet is the fragile leg - the thinnest edge on today's card.

Criciuma vs Juventude

Country

Brazil

League

Serie B

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 03:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. First hosts second in Serie B: none of Criciuma's last five home games went over 2.5 (0.4 conceded per home game), Juventude's away games average 1.6 total goals, the last head-to-head was 0-0, and the model has under at 78% (high quality). Main risk: with top spot on the line, one early goal could force an open finish.

Daejeon vs Anyang

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Daejeon matches and 8/10 recent Anyang matches; the high-quality model rates it 66% with a 80% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 3/5. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 3/5.

Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Jeju SK scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.95 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/8. Main risk: Jeju SK failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/8.

Daejeon vs Anyang

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Daejeon have won 6 of 10 including 5-0 and 3-0, won 2-1 at Anyang last month, and average 2.3 goals with 0.3 conceded at home; Anyang concede 2.5 per home game and have no clean sheet in 10. Main risk: Anyang have still won 4 of their last 10 and this K League mid-table is volatile.

Gangwon vs Jeonbuk

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Third-placed Jeonbuk (11-9-7) have lost once in ten, while Gangwon average just 0.4 goals per home game and failed to score in 4 of their last 5 there. Main risk: Gangwon sit 4th and just won 3-0 at Anyang, so a home win is far from impossible.

Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Gwangju have one win in 27 league games (1-10-16, 18:59 goals) and lost the July home H2H 1-2 to Jeju, who sit 5th. Main risk: Jeju are winless in their last three and draw-heavy, though the double chance covers that.

OKMK vs Pakhtakor

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 16:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Second-placed Pakhtakor are 12-7-1 with a single league loss and concede 0.6 per away game; the model has OKMK's win chance at just 22% (high quality). Main risk: OKMK have won 5 of 10 and are compact at home (0.8 conceded per game).

Pyramids vs El Gouna

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 92%. Pyramids scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 10/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.09 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: the H2H sample may not reflect current lineups.

OFI Crete vs Chrisoupolis

Country

Greece

League

Greek Cup

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Top-flight OFI are unbeaten in four (2-0 over Kifisia, 0-0 at PAOK) with three straight home clean-sheet wins, hosting lower-division Chrisoupolis who lost 0-2 to AEK in this group. Main risk: heavy cup rotation could level the gap.

Pyramids vs El Gouna

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. The champions are 3-0-0 with a 6:0 goal record and 8 wins in their last 10, while El Gouna are winless (0-2-1) in 16th; the model has Pyramids at 76% (high quality). Main risk: the market implies only 63% and Egyptian league games are draw-prone.

Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. The league leaders (14-3-3, 47:16) score 2.4 per home game with only 0.4 conceded, and the model has them at 78% (high quality) against 12th-placed Termez who lost 5 of 10. Main risk: Termez concede only 0.4 per away game and just won at Bunyodkor, while Neftchi shipped six at Nasaf last week.

Modern Sport vs Wadi Degla

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Wadi Degla are unbeaten in six with the division's stingiest away defense (0.4 conceded per game) and the model puts the hosts' win chance at only 21% (high quality). Main risk: Modern Sport have not conceded at home (four straight clean sheets), so a 1-0 home win is the live danger.

Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 18:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Bunyodkor have lost all ten of their recent matches, conceding 2.6 per away game, and lost the July H2H 1-3 at home to Nasaf, who just beat leaders Neftchi 6-2. Main risk: before that win Nasaf had lost 4 of 5, so their own level swings.

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 18:55 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Al Kholood scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.12 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/5. Main risk: Al Kholood failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 3/5.

Levadia vs Kuressaare

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Levadia matches and 7/10 recent Kuressaare matches; the high-quality model rates it 74% with a 75% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 4/7. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 4/7.

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju JK Laagri

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Parnu JK Vaprus matches and 7/10 recent Harju JK Laagri matches; the high-quality model rates it 66% with a 75% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 3/6. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 3/6.

Tammeka vs Paide

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Tammeka scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 3.20 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/8. Main risk: the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/8.

Levadia vs Kuressaare

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Runaway leaders Levadia (19-5-1, 66:20) average 3.8 goals per home game and have won 8 of 10; the model has them at 76% (high quality) against 8th-placed Kuressaare who have lost 14 of 26. Main risk: Kuressaare score 2.6 per away game and have won 3 of their last 5.

Barcelona vs Feyenoord

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Over 2.5 landed in 7/10 recent Barcelona matches and 9/10 recent Feyenoord matches; the high-quality model rates it 78% with a 80% empirical component, and no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 4/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Stuttgart vs Viking

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Over 2.5 landed in 9/10 recent Stuttgart matches and 8/10 recent Viking matches; the high-quality model rates it 78% with a 85% empirical component, and no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 3/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Twente vs Telstar

Country

Netherlands

League

Eredivisie

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Twente matches and 9/10 recent Telstar matches; the high-quality model rates it 72% with a 85% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 0/2. Main risk: 3/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Twente vs Telstar

Country

Netherlands

League

Eredivisie

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Twente are unbeaten in four with 4-1 wins at Cambuur and Qarabag and average 3 goals per home game, while promoted Telstar concede over two per away game; the market prices Twente at 75%. Main risk: the model itself sits lower at 67% and Twente have drawn two of four league games.

Barcelona vs Feyenoord

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. The model has over 2.5 at 78% (high quality) on 4.0 combined xG; Barcelona have scored 5 goals in three of their last four matches, and Feyenoord's games feature goals at both ends (6 of 6 home overs). Main risk: a heavy 1.11 favourite can produce a controlled 2-0 if Feyenoord sit deep.

Stuttgart vs Viking

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 19:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. The model has over at 78% (high quality) on 3.8 combined xG; Stuttgart average 3 goals per home game and Viking's matches went over in 8 of their last 10. Main risk: Viking's attack faces its biggest step up in class and could be shut out of a 2-0.

Arab Contractors vs Al Ahly

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Al Ahly scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.78 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/2. Main risk: Al Ahly failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 1/2.

Hradec Kralove vs Plzen

Country

Czech Republic

League

Chance Liga

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 89%. Plzen scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.89 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/4. Main risk: Plzen failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets.

Landskrona vs Helsingborg

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Landskrona scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 10/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.68 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/4. Main risk: Landskrona failed to score in 2/10; dated H2H is only 2/4.

Njardvik vs Throttur

Country

Iceland

League

Division 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Both teams scoring landed in 7/10 recent Njardvik matches and 7/10 recent Throttur matches; the high-quality model rates it 68% with a 70% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 2/4. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 2/4.

Nordic United vs Varnamo

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Nordic United scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.47 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Nordic United failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Sandviken vs Oddevold

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Sandviken scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.05 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: Sandviken failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Njardvik vs Throttur

Country

Iceland

League

Division 1

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Njardvik score 3.4 and concede 1.6 per home game (BTTS in 4 of 5), while 2nd-placed Throttur have 50 goals and hit BTTS in 4 of 6 away; the model agrees at 68% (high quality). Main risk: Throttur have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 3 and can win to nil.

Landskrona vs Helsingborg

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Landskrona are unbeaten in five and sit 6th, while Helsingborg have lost 5 of 10 and concede 2.2 per away game; the market prices the double chance near 75%. Main risk: this is a heated local derby and Landskrona's home attack is anaemic (0.7 goals per game).

Enppi vs ZED

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Enppi have one win in ten and average 0.3 scored with 2.0 conceded at home, while ZED have won three of four including 4-0 and 1-0 away wins; the model puts the home win at just 14% (high quality). Main risk: ZED's away attack is thin (0.75 goals per game), so this may need the draw half of the bet.

Arab Contractors vs Al Ahly

Country

Egypt

League

Premier League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Al Ahly are 3-0-0 with 7 wins in their last 10, and the market prices this double chance near 85%; Contractors have lost 2 of 3 this season. Main risk: Contractors draw over half their matches at home and occasionally upset the giants, though the draw is covered here.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele

Country

South Africa

League

Betway Premiership

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 89%. Mamelodi Sundowns scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.84 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/2. Main risk: Mamelodi Sundowns failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele

Country

South Africa

League

Betway Premiership

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. The champions are 5-1-0 this season with 7 wins in 10, beat Siwelele 7-4 in May, and the model has them at 80% (high quality); Siwelele are winless (0-2-3). Main risk: Sundowns lost at home to Golden Arrows three weeks ago, and Siwelele grind out draws.

Al Nassr vs Abha

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Al Nassr scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.71 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: Al Nassr failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Al Fateh are winless (0-3-2) with a single goal in five league games and five failures to score in their last seven away days, while Al Diriyah won 2 of their last 3. Main risk: Al Fateh's defense is competent, so a narrow 1-0 home win is the scenario that beats this.

Derby vs West Brom

Country

England

League

Championship

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 21:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 92%. West Brom scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.55 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/5. Main risk: the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets.

Norwich vs Birmingham

Country

England

League

Championship

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 21:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Birmingham scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.36 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/2. Main risk: Birmingham failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Rangers vs St. Mirren

Country

Scotland

League

Premiership

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 21:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. St. Mirren scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.43 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 7/8. Main risk: St. Mirren failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Charlton vs QPR

Country

England

League

Championship

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. QPR scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.96 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/2. Main risk: QPR failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 1/2.

Chelsea vs Leeds

Country

England

League

EFL Cup

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Leeds scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.73 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/3. Main risk: the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/3.

Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Liverpool scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.42 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Liverpool failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Napoli vs Arsenal

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Napoli scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.26 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

PSG vs Slovan Bratislava

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 87%. Slovan Bratislava scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.90 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: Slovan Bratislava failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets.

Sporting CP vs Galatasaray

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Sporting CP matches and 8/10 recent Galatasaray matches; the high-quality model rates it 78% with a 80% empirical component, and no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 4/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

St Johnstone vs Celtic

Country

Scotland

League

Premiership

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 91%. Celtic scored in 10/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.57 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. The market prices Liverpool-or-draw near 79% and the model higher at 86% (high quality); Atletico lost 0-3 at Bilbao on Saturday and concede 2.5 per away game in this sample. Main risk: Atletico have won 5 of 10 overall and historically raise their level against Liverpool.

St Johnstone vs Celtic

Country

Scotland

League

Premiership

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Celtic are 5-0-0 (13:3) with 9 wins in their last 10 and average 3 goals per away game; the model has them at 70% (high quality) with the market at 65%. Main risk: St Johnstone have won 2 of 3 including 2-1 over Hibernian and score 2.5 per home game.

Sporting CP vs Galatasaray

Country

Europe

League

Champions League

Match time

Wed, Sep 09, 22:00 GMT+3