Napoli vs Arsenal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arsenal favourites at 49% (Napoli 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 1.34 and 3 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 54%. Arsenal won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Arsenal have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 18 Apr 2019, when Arsenal won 1-0.
• Only 1 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.