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Football · Premier League · England

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Sunday, 01 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Arsenal favourites at 56% (Liverpool 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.95 to 1.21. Bookmakers give Arsenal about 45% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

  • Liverpool are 5th in Premier League on 12 points from 7 games; Arsenal are 2nd on 18.
  • Arsenal kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Liverpool have won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 8 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.
England•Premier League
Liverpool(3)
Rank 5 · 12 pts
W4d
W7d
W10d
L13d
W34d
W39d
D42d
W45d
W50d
D56d
7W · 2D · 1L
vs
Arsenal(2)
Rank 2 · 18 pts
D3d
W6d
W11d
W14d
L35d
W39d
W42d
W45d
W48d
W54d
8W · 1D · 1L
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
22/1418/9
2.201.80
1.400.90
8/109/10
7/106/10
7/105/10
4/103/10
3/105/10
2/101/10
8/107/10
7/106/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Liverpool at homeArsenal away
67
3/65/7
2/61/7
1/61/7
1.831.57
1.671.00
4/66/7
4/63/7
2/61/7
5/63/7
3/63/7
1/64/7
2/61/7
5/63/7
4/62/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Liverpool: 1.21
Expected Goals
Arsenal: 1.95
Liverpool
24%
Draw
20%
Arsenal
56%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 3.8%
1 — Liverpool
3.30
Implied 29%
Edge -5.2%
X
3.70
Implied 26%
Edge -6.0%
2 — Arsenal
2.15▲
Implied 45%
Edge +11.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Liverpool · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Liverpool#5 vs Villarreal#12
4-3W
17 Oct2026
Brentford#7 vs Liverpool#5
1-2W
14 Oct2026
Lask#3 vs Liverpool#5
3-6W
11 Oct2026
Liverpool#5 vs Manchester City#1
0-3L
20 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Liverpool#5
0-1W
15 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Tottenham#16
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Fulham#19
0-0D
09 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Atl. Madrid#2
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Ipswich#10 vs Liverpool#5
0-2W
29 Aug2026
Liverpool#5 vs Nottingham#17
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Arsenal · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Arsenal#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Nottingham#17 vs Arsenal#2
0-1W
13 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Lille#4
3-0W
10 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Leeds#8
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Arsenal#2
3-0L
15 Sept2026
Ipswich#10 vs Arsenal#2
2-4W
12 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Arsenal#2
0-2W
09 Sept2026
Napoli#10 vs Arsenal#2
0-1W
06 Sept2026
Arsenal#2 vs Chelsea#4
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Arsenal#2
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Jan2026
Arsenal#2 vs Liverpool#5
0-0•
31 Aug2025
Liverpool#5 vs Arsenal#2
1-0•
11 May2025
Liverpool#5 vs Arsenal#2
2-2•
27 Oct2024
Arsenal#2 vs Liverpool#5
2-2•
01 Aug2024
Liverpool#5 vs Arsenal#2
2-1•
04 Feb2024
Arsenal#2 vs Liverpool#5
3-1•
07 Jan2024
Arsenal#2 vs Liverpool#5
0-2•
23 Dec2023
Liverpool#5 vs Arsenal#2
1-1•
09 Apr2023
Liverpool#5 vs Arsenal#2
2-2•
09 Oct2022
Arsenal#2 vs Liverpool#5
3-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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