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Football · Premier League · England

Liverpool vs Brighton

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Brighton favourites at 63% (Liverpool 20%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.39 to 1.27. Bookmakers give Brighton about 30% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

  • Brighton are unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • Brighton kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 matches and 7 of Brighton's.
  • Liverpool are 5th in Premier League on 12 points from 7 games; Brighton are 3rd on 16.
  • Liverpool have won 3 matches in a row.
England•Premier League
Liverpool(5)
Rank 5 · 12 pts
W4d
W7d
W10d
L13d
W34d
W39d
D42d
W45d
W50d
D56d
7W · 2D · 1L
vs
Brighton(4)
Rank 3 · 16 pts
D2d
W6d
W9d
W14d
W35d
W38d
W41d
D49d
L55d
W58d
7W · 2D · 1L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
22/1430/7
2.203.00
1.400.70
8/109/10
7/108/10
7/103/10
4/102/10
3/107/10
2/101/10
8/109/10
7/107/10
6/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Liverpool at homeBrighton away
65
3/63/5
2/61/5
1/61/5
1.832.60
1.671.20
4/64/5
4/64/5
2/63/5
5/62/5
3/62/5
1/63/5
2/61/5
5/63/5
4/62/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Liverpool: 1.27
Expected Goals
Brighton: 2.39
Liverpool
20%
Draw
17%
Brighton
63%
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.7%
1 — Liverpool
2.05▲
Implied 46%
Edge -26.2%
X
3.90▼
Implied 24%
Edge -7.3%
2 — Brighton
3.20▼
Implied 30%
Edge +33.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Liverpool · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Liverpool#5 vs Villarreal#12
4-3W
17 Oct2026
Brentford#7 vs Liverpool#5
1-2W
14 Oct2026
Lask#3 vs Liverpool#5
3-6W
11 Oct2026
Liverpool#5 vs Manchester City#1
0-3L
20 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Liverpool#5
0-1W
15 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Tottenham#16
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Fulham#19
0-0D
09 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Atl. Madrid#2
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Ipswich#10 vs Liverpool#5
0-2W
29 Aug2026
Liverpool#5 vs Nottingham#17
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Brighton · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Jablonec#7 vs Brighton#3
0-0D
18 Oct2026
Brighton#3 vs Crystal Palace#14
5-0W
15 Oct2026
Brighton#3 vs Kauno Zalgiris#36
4-0W
10 Oct2026
Sunderland#20 vs Brighton#3
0-2W
19 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Arsenal#2
3-0W
16 Sept2026
Manchester Utd#13 vs Brighton#3
2-3W
13 Sept2026
Coventry#18 vs Brighton#3
0-5W
05 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Leeds#8
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Chelsea#4 vs Brighton#3
4-3L
27 Aug2026
Brighton#3 vs Tromso#4
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
21 Mar2026
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
2-1•
14 Feb2026
Liverpool#5 vs Brighton#3
3-0•
13 Dec2025
Liverpool#5 vs Brighton#3
2-0•
19 May2025
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
3-2•
02 Nov2024
Liverpool#5 vs Brighton#3
2-1•
30 Oct2024
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
2-3•
31 Mar2024
Liverpool#5 vs Brighton#3
2-1•
08 Oct2023
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
2-2•
29 Jan2023
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
2-1•
14 Jan2023
Brighton#3 vs Liverpool#5
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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