Liverpool vs Manchester Utd

Match preview

The model makes Liverpool favourites at 63% (Manchester Utd 19%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.25 to 1.16, Liverpool sitting 5th in the table to Manchester Utd's 13th and 7 wins in Liverpool's last 10 matches to 2 for Manchester Utd. It puts over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 63%.

Key facts

• Manchester Utd have gone 7 matches without a win.
• Liverpool have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 3 May 2026, when Manchester Utd won 3-2.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
• Manchester Utd concede 2 goals a game away from home.