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Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · Premier League · England

Manchester Utd vs Bournemouth

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes Manchester Utd favourites at 45% (Bournemouth 35%, draw 20%). That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bournemouth come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Manchester Utd about 48% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 69%.

Key facts

Manchester Utd have gone 7 matches without a win.
Manchester Utd are 13th in Premier League on 7 points from 7 games; Bournemouth are 15th on 6.
Bournemouth have won 3 matches in a row.
They last met on 20 Mar 2026, when it finished 2-2.
8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.

England•Premier League

Manchester Utd(4)

Rank 13 · 7 pts

L3d

D6d

L11d

D14d

D34d

L38d

L41d

W44d

D48d

W55d

2W · 4D · 4L

Bournemouth(2)

Rank 15 · 6 pts

W2d

W6d

W9d

L14d

L34d

W37d

D42d

W46d

D49d

D56d

5W · 3D · 2L

Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00

H2H: 4-4-2

Last 10 matches

1010

17/1720/12

1.702.00

1.701.20

8/109/10

4/107/10

9/106/10

5/103/10

1/104/10

2/101/10

9/109/10

5/107/10

7/105/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Manchester Utd at homeBournemouth away

2/51/3

1/51/3

2/51/3

2.401.67

1.402.67

4/53/3

3/52/3

2/50/3

4/53/3

2/52/3

1/50/3

3/53/3

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Manchester Utd: 1.89

Expected Goals

Bournemouth: 1.66

Manchester Utd

45%

Draw

20%

Bournemouth

35%

Over 2.5: 69%

BTTS: 69%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 4.9%

1 — Manchester Utd

2.00▲

Implied 48%

Edge -2.7%

3.80▼

Implied 25%

Edge -5.1%

2 — Bournemouth

3.50▼

Implied 27%

Edge +7.8%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Manchester Utd · # = league position now

21 Oct2026

Como#5 vs Manchester Utd#13

4-1L

18 Oct2026

Leeds#8 vs Manchester Utd#13

1-1D

13 Oct2026

Atl. Madrid#2 vs Manchester Utd#13

2-0L

10 Oct2026

Manchester Utd#13 vs Tottenham#16

1-1D

20 Sept2026

Fulham#19 vs Manchester Utd#13

1-1D

16 Sept2026

Manchester Utd#13 vs Brighton#3

2-3L

13 Sept2026

Manchester Utd#13 vs Manchester City#1

0-1L

10 Sept2026

Manchester Utd#13 vs Sabah fc#1

4-0W

06 Sept2026

Everton#9 vs Manchester Utd#13

2-2D

30 Aug2026

Manchester Utd#13 vs Ipswich#10

5-2W

Team 2 Form

Bournemouth · # = league position now

22 Oct2026

Bournemouth#15 vs ac Milan#4

3-0W

18 Oct2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Sunderland#20

2-0W

15 Oct2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Sturm Graz#4

3-0W

10 Oct2026

Chelsea#4 vs Bournemouth#15

5-1L

20 Sept2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Liverpool#5

0-1L

17 Sept2026

Real Sociedad#5 vs Bournemouth#15

1-2W

12 Sept2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Brentford#7

2-2D

08 Sept2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Lincoln#18

4-0W

05 Sept2026

Newcastle#12 vs Bournemouth#15

2-2D

29 Aug2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Everton#9

1-1D

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

20 Mar2026

Bournemouth#15 vs Manchester Utd#13

2-2•

15 Dec2025