Football · Champions League · Europe
Manchester Utd vs AS Roma
Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes AS Roma favourites at 56% (Manchester Utd 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 1.19, AS Roma sitting 15th in the table to Manchester Utd's 20th and 6 wins in AS Roma's last 10 matches to 2 for Manchester Utd. Manchester Utd lead the head-to-head 6-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give AS Roma about 31% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Key facts
- Manchester Utd have gone 7 matches without a win.
- AS Roma kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 6 May 2021, when AS Roma won 3-2.
Europe•Champions League
vs
Tuesday, 03 November 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-1-2
Last 10 matches
1010
17/1724/8
1.702.40
1.700.80
8/109/10
4/108/10
9/104/10
5/102/10
1/106/10
2/101/10
9/109/10
5/106/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Manchester Utd at homeas Roma away
54
2/52/4
1/52/4
2/50/4
2.401.75
1.400.25
4/53/4
3/52/4
2/51/4
4/51/4
2/50/4
1/53/4
1/51/4
3/51/4
3/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Manchester Utd: 1.19
Expected Goals
as Roma: 1.92
Manchester Utd
24%
Draw
20%
as Roma
56%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 59%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.7%
1 — Manchester Utd
2.20▲
Implied 43%
Edge -19.4%
X
3.70▲
Implied 26%
Edge -5.8%
2 — AS Roma
3.10
Implied 31%
Edge +25.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Manchester Utd · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Como#9 vs Manchester Utd#20
4-1L
18 Oct2026
Leeds#8 vs Manchester Utd#20
1-1D
13 Oct2026
Atl. Madrid#16 vs Manchester Utd#20
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Manchester Utd#20 vs Tottenham#16
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Fulham#19 vs Manchester Utd#20
1-1D
16 Sept2026
Manchester Utd#20 vs Brighton#3
2-3L
13 Sept2026
Manchester Utd#20 vs Manchester City#10
0-1L
10 Sept2026
Manchester Utd#20 vs Sabah fc#25
4-0W
06 Sept2026
Everton#9 vs Manchester Utd#20
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Manchester Utd#20 vs Ipswich
5-2W
Team 2 Form
as Roma · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
as Roma#15 vs Slovan Bratislava#36
4-0W
17 Oct2026
as Roma#15 vs Genoa#17
2-0W
14 Oct2026
as Roma#15 vs Real Madrid#4
3-4L
11 Oct2026
Como#9 vs as Roma#15
0-0D
19 Sept2026
as Roma#15 vs Inter#21
2-2D
14 Sept2026
Torino#8 vs as Roma#15
0-2W
10 Sept2026
Fenerbahce#31 vs as Roma#15
1-1D
05 Sept2026
as Roma#15 vs Atalanta#11
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Lecce#12 vs as Roma#15
0-4W
24 Aug2026
as Roma#15 vs Fiorentina#18
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
06 May2021
as Roma#15 vs Manchester Utd#20
3-2•
29 Apr2021
Manchester Utd#20 vs as Roma#15
6-2•
26 Jul2014
Manchester Utd#20 vs as Roma#15
3-2•
09 Apr2008
Manchester Utd#20 vs as Roma#15
1-0•
01 Apr2008
as Roma#15 vs Manchester Utd#20
0-2•
12 Dec2007
as Roma#15 vs Manchester Utd#20
1-1•
02 Oct2007
Manchester Utd#20 vs as Roma#15
1-0•
10 Apr2007
Manchester Utd#20 vs as Roma#15
7-1•
04 Apr2007
as Roma#15 vs Manchester Utd#20
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Manchester Utd
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