Football · Serie A · Italy
AS Roma vs Cagliari
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes AS Roma favourites at 73% (Cagliari 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.17 to 0.65, AS Roma sitting 3rd in the table to Cagliari's 7th and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give AS Roma about 71% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 35%.
Key facts
- AS Roma kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- AS Roma have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
- AS Roma average 2.83 goals a game at home.
- They last met on 9 Feb 2026, when AS Roma won 2-0.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-1-2
Last 10 matches
1010
24/88/11
2.400.80
0.801.10
9/107/10
8/101/10
4/106/10
2/103/10
6/104/10
1/103/10
9/105/10
6/103/10
4/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
as Roma at homeCagliari away
64
4/63/4
1/60/4
1/61/4
2.831.00
1.171.25
6/63/4
6/61/4
3/60/4
3/62/4
2/61/4
3/62/4
0/61/4
5/62/4
3/61/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
as Roma: 2.17
Expected Goals
Cagliari: 0.65
as Roma
73%
Draw
16%
Cagliari
11%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 35%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.1%
1 — AS Roma
1.32
Implied 71%
Edge +1.6%
X
5.20
Implied 18%
Edge -2.1%
2 — Cagliari
9.00▼
Implied 10%
Edge +0.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
as Roma · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Slovan Bratislava#4
4-0W
17 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Genoa#17
2-0W
14 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Real Madrid#3
3-4L
11 Oct2026
Como#5 vs as Roma#3
0-0D
19 Sept2026
as Roma#3 vs Inter#1
2-2D
14 Sept2026
Torino#8 vs as Roma#3
0-2W
10 Sept2026
Fenerbahce#3 vs as Roma#3
1-1D
05 Sept2026
as Roma#3 vs Atalanta#11
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Lecce#12 vs as Roma#3
0-4W
24 Aug2026
as Roma#3 vs Fiorentina#18
4-0W
Team 2 Form
Cagliari · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Cagliari#7 vs Bologna#15
0-2L
19 Oct2026
Monza#14 vs Cagliari#7
4-0L
11 Oct2026
Cagliari#7 vs Juventus#9
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Cagliari#7
0-1W
12 Sept2026
Atalanta#11 vs Cagliari#7
1-2W
07 Sept2026
Cagliari#7 vs Lecce#12
1-0W
03 Sept2026
Cagliari#7 vs Verona#12
1-2L
30 Aug2026
Cagliari#7 vs Inter#1
0-1L
22 Aug2026
Parma#19 vs Cagliari#7
0-1W
14 Aug2026
Cagliari#7 vs Arezzo#9
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Feb2026
as Roma#3 vs Cagliari#7
2-0•
07 Dec2025
Cagliari#7 vs as Roma#3
1-0•
16 Mar2025
as Roma#3 vs Cagliari#7
1-0•
18 Aug2024
Cagliari#7 vs as Roma#3
0-0•
05 Feb2024
as Roma#3 vs Cagliari#7
4-0•
08 Oct2023
Cagliari#7 vs as Roma#3
1-4•
16 Jan2022
as Roma#3 vs Cagliari#7
1-0•
27 Oct2021
Cagliari#7 vs as Roma#3
1-2•
25 Apr2021
Cagliari#7 vs as Roma#3
3-2•
23 Dec2020
as Roma#3 vs Cagliari#7
3-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
as Roma
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