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Football · Premier League · England

Bournemouth vs Leeds

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Leeds favourites at 41% (Bournemouth 37%, draw 22%). That rests on Leeds sitting 8th in the table to Bournemouth's 15th and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Leeds about 28% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 64%.

Key facts

  • Bournemouth have won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 22 Apr 2026, when it finished 2-2.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
  • Leeds have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
England•Premier League
Bournemouth(2)
Rank 15 · 6 pts
W2d
W6d
W9d
L14d
L34d
W37d
D42d
W46d
D49d
D56d
5W · 3D · 2L
vs
Leeds(6)
Rank 8 · 10 pts
D6d
L14d
D34d
W40d
L45d
D49d
D55d
W60d
W63d
W70d
4W · 4D · 2L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-2-6
Last 10 matches
1010
20/1218/12
2.001.80
1.201.20
9/109/10
7/104/10
6/106/10
3/102/10
4/104/10
1/101/10
9/108/10
7/104/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bournemouth at homeLeeds away
75
4/72/5
2/71/5
1/72/5
2.141.60
0.571.80
6/75/5
5/72/5
3/71/5
3/73/5
1/72/5
4/72/5
1/70/5
4/72/5
2/73/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bournemouth: 1.51
Expected Goals
Leeds: 1.6
Bournemouth
37%
Draw
22%
Leeds
41%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.5%
1 — Bournemouth
2.15▼
Implied 45%
Edge -7.5%
X
3.50▼
Implied 27%
Edge -5.3%
2 — Leeds
3.40▲
Implied 28%
Edge +12.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bournemouth · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs ac Milan#4
3-0W
18 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sunderland#20
2-0W
15 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0W
10 Oct2026
Chelsea#4 vs Bournemouth#15
5-1L
20 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Liverpool#5
0-1L
17 Sept2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Bournemouth#15
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Brentford#7
2-2D
08 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Lincoln#18
4-0W
05 Sept2026
Newcastle#12 vs Bournemouth#15
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Everton#9
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Leeds · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Leeds#8 vs Manchester Utd#13
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Leeds#8
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Leeds#8 vs Crystal Palace#14
0-0D
14 Sept2026
Leeds#8 vs Newcastle#12
4-1W
09 Sept2026
Chelsea#4 vs Leeds#8
6-3L
05 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Leeds#8
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Leeds#8 vs Brentford#7
1-1D
25 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Leeds#8
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Leeds#8
0-1W
15 Aug2026
Leeds#8 vs Augsburg#10
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
22 Apr2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Leeds#8
2-2•
27 Sept2025
Leeds#8 vs Bournemouth#15
2-2•
30 Apr2023
Bournemouth#15 vs Leeds#8
4-1•
05 Nov2022
Leeds#8 vs Bournemouth#15
4-3•
20 Jan2015
Leeds#8 vs Bournemouth#15
1-0•
16 Sept2014
Bournemouth#15 vs Leeds#8
1-3•
25 Mar2014
Bournemouth#15 vs Leeds#8
4-1•
01 Oct2013
Leeds#8 vs Bournemouth#15
2-1•
08 Mar2008
Leeds#8 vs Bournemouth#15
2-0•
06 Nov2007
Bournemouth#15 vs Leeds#8
1-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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