Leeds vs Tottenham

Match preview

The model makes Leeds favourites at 61% (Tottenham 19%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.90 to 0.92, Leeds sitting 8th in the table to Tottenham's 16th and 4 wins in Leeds's last 10 matches to 2 for Tottenham. Tottenham lead the head-to-head 7-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

• Tottenham failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
• They last met on 11 May 2026, when it finished 1-1.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.