Football · Premier League · England
Chelsea vs Tottenham
Saturday, 24 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Chelsea favourites at 79% (Tottenham 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.90 to 0.89, Chelsea sitting 4th in the table to Tottenham's 16th, 7 wins in Chelsea's last 10 matches to 2 for Tottenham and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Key facts
- Chelsea have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
- Chelsea average 3.67 goals a game at home.
- Tottenham failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
- They last met on 1 Aug 2026, when Tottenham won 2-1.
England•Premier League
vs
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-1-2
Last 10 matches
1010
28/1714/16
2.801.40
1.701.60
9/106/10
8/104/10
8/108/10
6/105/10
2/102/10
1/104/10
10/108/10
8/106/10
7/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Chelsea at homeTottenham away
64
5/60/4
1/62/4
0/62/4
3.670.50
1.671.75
6/62/4
6/60/4
4/60/4
5/63/4
3/62/4
1/61/4
0/62/4
5/62/4
5/62/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Chelsea: 2.9
Expected Goals
Tottenham: 0.89
Chelsea
79%
Draw
12%
Tottenham
9%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.4%
1 — Chelsea
1.70▼
Implied 56%
Edge +23.2%
X
4.20▲
Implied 23%
Edge -10.6%
2 — Tottenham
4.40▲
Implied 22%
Edge -12.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Chelsea · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Everton#9 vs Chelsea#4
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Chelsea#4 vs Bournemouth#15
5-1W
18 Sept2026
Brentford#7 vs Chelsea#4
3-0L
12 Sept2026
Chelsea#4 vs Hull#11
2-2D
09 Sept2026
Chelsea#4 vs Leeds#8
6-3W
06 Sept2026
Arsenal#2 vs Chelsea#4
2-1L
30 Aug2026
Chelsea#4 vs Brighton#3
4-3W
27 Aug2026
Chelsea#4 vs Luton#2
2-0W
24 Aug2026
Fulham#19 vs Chelsea#4
2-3W
15 Aug2026
Chelsea#4 vs Real Sociedad#5
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Tottenham · # = league position now
19 Oct2026
Tottenham#16 vs Coventry#18
3-1W
10 Oct2026
Manchester Utd#13 vs Tottenham#16
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Tottenham#16 vs Aston Villa#6
2-3L
15 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Tottenham#16
3-1L
12 Sept2026
Tottenham#16 vs Everton#9
0-0D
05 Sept2026
Nottingham#17 vs Tottenham#16
0-0D
29 Aug2026
Tottenham#16 vs Newcastle#12
0-2L
26 Aug2026
Tottenham#16 vs Charlton#10
5-1W
22 Aug2026
Brentford#7 vs Tottenham#16
3-0L
16 Aug2026
Tottenham#16 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Aug2026
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
1-2•
19 May2026
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
2-1•
01 Nov2025
Tottenham#16 vs Chelsea#4
0-1•
03 Apr2025
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
1-0•
08 Dec2024
Tottenham#16 vs Chelsea#4
3-4•
02 May2024
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
2-0•
06 Nov2023
Tottenham#16 vs Chelsea#4
1-4•
26 Feb2023
Tottenham#16 vs Chelsea#4
2-0•
14 Aug2022
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
2-2•
23 Jan2022
Chelsea#4 vs Tottenham#16
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Chelsea
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