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Football · Premier League · England

Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Leeds favourites at 62% (Sunderland 18%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 0.84 and Leeds sitting 7th in the table to Sunderland's 20th. Bookmakers give Leeds about 41% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 49%.

Key facts

  • They last met on 31 Jul 2026, when Leeds won 1-0.
  • Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
  • Leeds have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
England•Premier League
Sunderland(3)
Rank 20 · 4 pts
D2d
L6d
W9d
L14d
L34d
W38d
L42d
W46d
D49d
W55d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
Leeds(3)
Rank 7 · 10 pts
D6d
L14d
D34d
W40d
L45d
D49d
D55d
W60d
W63d
W70d
4W · 4D · 2L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1418/12
1.001.80
1.401.20
7/109/10
2/104/10
7/106/10
4/102/10
3/104/10
3/101/10
7/108/10
2/104/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sunderland at homeLeeds away
55
3/52/5
0/51/5
2/52/5
0.601.60
0.801.80
3/55/5
0/52/5
0/51/5
2/53/5
2/52/5
3/52/5
2/50/5
0/52/5
0/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sunderland: 0.84
Expected Goals
Leeds: 1.85
Sunderland
18%
Draw
20%
Leeds
62%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.1%
1 — Sunderland
3.20▲
Implied 30%
Edge -12.0%
X
3.30▼
Implied 29%
Edge -9.1%
2 — Leeds
2.35▼
Implied 41%
Edge +21.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sunderland · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sunderland#20
2-0L
15 Oct2026
Torreense#28 vs Sunderland#20
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Sunderland#20 vs Brighton#3
0-2L
20 Sept2026
Manchester City#1 vs Sunderland#20
5-3L
16 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Arsenal#2
0-2L
08 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Hull#9
1-0W
05 Sept2026
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Sunderland#20 vs Fulham#18
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Leeds · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Leeds#7 vs Manchester Utd#13
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Leeds#7
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Crystal Palace#14
0-0D
14 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Newcastle#11
4-1W
09 Sept2026
Chelsea#4 vs Leeds#7
6-3L
05 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Leeds#7
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Leeds#7 vs Brentford#6
1-1D
25 Aug2026
Nottingham#19 vs Leeds#7
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Nottingham#19 vs Leeds#7
0-1W
15 Aug2026
Leeds#7 vs Augsburg#10
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
31 Jul2026
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
0-1•
03 Mar2026
Leeds#7 vs Sunderland#20
0-1•
28 Dec2025
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
1-1•
17 Feb2025
Leeds#7 vs Sunderland#20
2-1•
04 Oct2024
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
2-2•
09 Apr2024
Leeds#7 vs Sunderland#20
0-0•
12 Dec2023
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
1-0•
07 Apr2018
Leeds#7 vs Sunderland#20
1-1•
19 Aug2017
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
0-2•
04 Jan2015
Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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