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Football · EFL Cup · England

Sunderland vs Brentford

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Brentford favourites at 61% (Sunderland 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 1.00 and 3 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Brentford about 47% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

  • Brentford scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 5 Sept 2026, when it finished 1-1.
  • Brentford have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
England•EFL Cup
Sunderland(3)
D2d
L6d
W9d
L14d
L34d
W38d
L42d
W46d
D49d
W55d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
Brentford(4)
L7d
D14d
W36d
W39d
D42d
D49d
D55d
W60d
W63d
W70d
5W · 4D · 1L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1428/10
1.002.80
1.401.00
7/1010/10
2/107/10
7/107/10
4/103/10
3/103/10
3/100/10
7/1010/10
2/108/10
4/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sunderland at homeBrentford away
55
3/52/5
0/53/5
2/50/5
0.602.60
0.801.40
3/55/5
0/54/5
0/51/5
2/55/5
2/52/5
3/50/5
2/50/5
0/54/5
0/55/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sunderland: 1
Expected Goals
Brentford: 1.98
Sunderland
20%
Draw
19%
Brentford
61%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.6%
1 — Sunderland
3.60▲
Implied 26%
Edge -6.3%
X
3.60▲
Implied 26%
Edge -7.3%
2 — Brentford
2.00▼
Implied 47%
Edge +13.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sunderland · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lech Poznan#2 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sunderland#20
2-0L
15 Oct2026
Torreense#28 vs Sunderland#20
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Sunderland#20 vs Brighton#3
0-2L
20 Sept2026
Manchester City#1 vs Sunderland#20
5-3L
16 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Arsenal#2
0-2L
08 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Hull#9
1-0W
05 Sept2026
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Sunderland#20 vs Fulham#18
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Brentford · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Brentford#6 vs Liverpool#5
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Aston Villa#12 vs Brentford#6
2-2D
18 Sept2026
Brentford#6 vs Chelsea#4
3-0W
15 Sept2026
Reading#3 vs Brentford#6
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Brentford#6
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Leeds#7 vs Brentford#6
1-1D
25 Aug2026
Birmingham#4 vs Brentford#6
1-6W
22 Aug2026
Brentford#6 vs Tottenham#16
3-0W
15 Aug2026
Brentford#6 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
7-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
05 Sept2026
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
1-1•
07 Jan2026
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
3-0•
30 Aug2025
Sunderland#20 vs Brentford#6
2-1•
17 Feb2018
Sunderland#20 vs Brentford#6
0-2•
21 Oct2017
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
3-3•
28 Jan2006
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
2-1•
06 Apr2093
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
1-1•
12 Dec2092
Sunderland#20 vs Brentford#6
1-3•
24 May2047
Sunderland#20 vs Brentford#6
2-1•
21 Sept2046
Brentford#6 vs Sunderland#20
0-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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