Football · Premier League · England
Brentford vs Nottingham
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Brentford favourites at 75% (Nottingham 10%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 0.73, Brentford sitting 7th in the table to Nottingham's 17th and 5 wins in Brentford's last 10 matches to 2 for Nottingham. Bookmakers give Brentford about 48% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- Brentford scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Brentford have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Brentford average 3 goals a game at home.
- They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Nottingham won 2-0.
England•Premier League
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-3-3
Last 10 matches
1010
28/108/12
2.800.80
1.001.20
10/105/10
7/103/10
7/108/10
3/103/10
3/102/10
0/105/10
10/106/10
8/103/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Brentford at homeNottingham away
54
3/51/4
1/52/4
1/51/4
3.001.50
0.601.75
5/54/4
3/52/4
3/50/4
2/54/4
1/52/4
3/50/4
0/50/4
4/53/4
2/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Brentford: 2.37
Expected Goals
Nottingham: 0.73
Brentford
75%
Draw
15%
Nottingham
10%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.9%
1 — Brentford
1.97
Implied 48%
Edge +26.6%
X
3.80
Implied 25%
Edge -10.1%
2 — Nottingham
3.60▲
Implied 26%
Edge -16.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Brentford · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Brentford#7 vs Liverpool#5
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Brentford#7
2-2D
18 Sept2026
Brentford#7 vs Chelsea#4
3-0W
15 Sept2026
Reading#3 vs Brentford#7
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Brentford#7
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Brentford#7 vs Sunderland#20
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Leeds#8 vs Brentford#7
1-1D
25 Aug2026
Birmingham#4 vs Brentford#7
1-6W
22 Aug2026
Brentford#7 vs Tottenham#16
3-0W
15 Aug2026
Brentford#7 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
7-0W
Team 2 Form
Nottingham · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Ipswich#10 vs Nottingham#17
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Nottingham#17 vs Arsenal#2
0-1L
11 Oct2026
Crystal Palace#14 vs Nottingham#17
3-1L
19 Sept2026
Nottingham#17 vs Coventry#18
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Nottingham#17
1-2W
05 Sept2026
Nottingham#17 vs Tottenham#16
0-0D
29 Aug2026
Liverpool#5 vs Nottingham#17
2-2D
25 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Leeds#8
0-2L
22 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Leeds#8
0-1L
16 Aug2026
Nottingham#17 vs Brest#11
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Jan2026
Brentford#7 vs Nottingham#17
0-2•
17 Aug2025
Nottingham#17 vs Brentford#7
3-1•
01 May2025
Nottingham#17 vs Brentford#7
0-2•
21 Dec2024
Brentford#7 vs Nottingham#17
0-2•
20 Jan2024
Brentford#7 vs Nottingham#17
3-2•
01 Oct2023
Nottingham#17 vs Brentford#7
1-1•
29 Apr2023
Brentford#7 vs Nottingham#17
2-1•
05 Nov2022
Nottingham#17 vs Brentford#7
2-2•
20 Mar2021
Brentford#7 vs Nottingham#17
1-1•
12 Dec2020
Nottingham#17 vs Brentford#7
1-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Brentford
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