Football · EFL Cup · England
Fleetwood vs Arsenal
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Arsenal favourites at 44% (Fleetwood 33%, draw 23%). That rests on 8 wins in Arsenal's last 10 matches to 3 for Fleetwood. Bookmakers give Arsenal about 88% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Key facts
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- Fleetwood have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Arsenal kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
England•EFL Cup
Fleetwood(0)
L0d
L4d
W7d
D14d
W18d
L21d
L28d
L32d
L35d
W38d
Arsenal(0)
W0d
D3d
W6d
W11d
W14d
L35d
W39d
W42d
W45d
W48d
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1519/9
1.301.90
1.500.90
8/109/10
3/107/10
8/105/10
4/103/10
2/105/10
2/101/10
7/108/10
5/106/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Fleetwood at homeArsenal away
56
3/54/6
1/51/6
1/51/6
1.801.67
0.801.17
5/55/6
2/53/6
1/51/6
3/53/6
1/53/6
2/53/6
0/51/6
2/53/6
3/52/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Fleetwood: 1.28
Expected Goals
Arsenal: 1.53
Fleetwood
33%
Draw
23%
Arsenal
44%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: medium
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.1%
1 — Fleetwood
27.00▼
Implied 3%
Edge +29.5%
X
11.00
Implied 8%
Edge +14.5%
2 — Arsenal
1.06▲
Implied 88%
Edge -44.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Fleetwood · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Exeter#1 vs Fleetwood#2
2-1L
20 Oct2026
Cheltenham#2 vs Fleetwood#2
4-2L
17 Oct2026
Fleetwood#2 vs Rotherham#3
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Fleetwood#2 vs Walsall#3
1-1D
06 Oct2026
Fleetwood#2 vs Barnsley#4
4-1W
03 Oct2026
Salford#3 vs Fleetwood#2
1-0L
26 Sept2026
Fleetwood#2 vs Rochdale#4
1-2L
22 Sept2026
Oldham#1 vs Fleetwood#2
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Barnet#1 vs Fleetwood#2
3-1L
16 Sept2026
Fleetwood#2 vs Sheffield Utd#11
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Arsenal · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Everton#9
2-0W
21 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Arsenal#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Nottingham#17 vs Arsenal#2
0-1W
13 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Lille#4
3-0W
10 Oct2026
Arsenal#2 vs Leeds#8
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Brighton#3 vs Arsenal#2
3-0L
15 Sept2026
Ipswich#10 vs Arsenal#2
2-4W
12 Sept2026
Sunderland#20 vs Arsenal#2
0-2W
09 Sept2026
Napoli#10 vs Arsenal#2
0-1W
06 Sept2026
Arsenal#2 vs Chelsea#4
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Fleetwood
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