Football · League Two · England
Fleetwood vs Bristol Rovers
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Fleetwood favourites at 61% (Bristol Rovers 19%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 0.90. Bookmakers give Fleetwood about 35% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Key facts
- Bristol Rovers have gone 6 matches without a win.
- Fleetwood are 18th in League Two on 14 points from 12 games; Bristol Rovers are 12th on 16.
- Fleetwood have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Bristol Rovers failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
- They last met on 3 Apr 2026, when Bristol Rovers won 1-0.
England•League Two
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
13/156/18
1.300.60
1.501.80
8/106/10
3/100/10
8/107/10
4/106/10
2/103/10
2/104/10
7/106/10
5/105/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Fleetwood at homeBristol Rovers away
55
3/50/5
1/50/5
1/55/5
1.800.40
0.802.60
5/52/5
2/50/5
1/50/5
3/55/5
1/54/5
2/50/5
0/53/5
2/53/5
3/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Fleetwood: 1.84
Expected Goals
Bristol Rovers: 0.9
Fleetwood
61%
Draw
20%
Bristol Rovers
19%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.1%
1 — Fleetwood
2.65▲
Implied 35%
Edge +25.8%
X
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge -7.4%
2 — Bristol Rovers
2.50▼
Implied 37%
Edge -18.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Fleetwood · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Exeter#10 vs Fleetwood#18
2-1L
20 Oct2026
Cheltenham#4 vs Fleetwood#18
4-2L
17 Oct2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Rotherham#23
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Walsall#5
1-1D
06 Oct2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Barnsley#4
4-1W
03 Oct2026
Salford#1 vs Fleetwood#18
1-0L
26 Sept2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Rochdale#16
1-2L
22 Sept2026
Oldham#22 vs Fleetwood#18
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Barnet#2 vs Fleetwood#18
3-1L
16 Sept2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Sheffield Utd#11
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Bristol Rovers · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Swindon#11
0-0D
20 Oct2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Salford#1
1-2L
17 Oct2026
Shrewsbury#8 vs Bristol Rovers#12
1-0L
10 Oct2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Barnet#2
1-3L
06 Oct2026
Wycombe#1 vs Bristol Rovers#12
4-1L
03 Oct2026
Crewe#3 vs Bristol Rovers#12
3-1L
26 Sept2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Exeter#10
1-0W
19 Sept2026
Gillingham#7 vs Bristol Rovers#12
3-0L
12 Sept2026
Grimsby#17 vs Bristol Rovers#12
2-0L
05 Sept2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Rotherham#23
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 Apr2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Fleetwood#18
1-0•
09 Aug2025
Fleetwood#18 vs Bristol Rovers#12
2-1•
12 Mar2024
Fleetwood#18 vs Bristol Rovers#12
0-0•
06 Feb2024
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Fleetwood#18
0-2•
10 Apr2023
Fleetwood#18 vs Bristol Rovers#12
1-2•
12 Nov2022
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Fleetwood#18
2-2•
06 Feb2021
Fleetwood#18 vs Bristol Rovers#12
0-0•
14 Nov2020
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Fleetwood#18
1-4•
25 Jan2020
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Fleetwood#18
0-0•
29 Dec2019
Fleetwood#18 vs Bristol Rovers#12
0-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Fleetwood
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