Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Neftchi Fargona favourites at 78% (Termez Surkhon 6%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.01 to 0.32, 6 wins in Neftchi Fargona's last 10 matches to 3 for Termez Surkhon and 3 wins from the last 9 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 34%. Neftchi Fargona won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 5 Mar 2026, when Neftchi Fargona won 3-0.