Al Nassr vs Abha

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Al Nassr favourites at 88% (Abha 3%, draw 9%). That rests on expected goals of 2.71 to 0.27, 6 wins in Al Nassr's last 10 matches to 0 for Abha and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 41%. Al Nassr won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Abha have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 2 Apr 2024, when Al Nassr won 8-0.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.