Football · Saudi Professional League · Saudi Arabia
Abha vs Al Ittihad
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Al Ittihad favourites at 87% (Abha 2%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.29 to 0.16, Al Ittihad sitting 4th in the table to Abha's 18th, 6 wins in Al Ittihad's last 10 matches to 0 for Abha and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Bookmakers give Al Ittihad about 59% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 37%.
Key facts
- Abha have lost 3 matches in a row.
- Al Ittihad have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 3 May 2024, when Abha won 3-1.
- 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Saudi Arabia•Saudi Professional League
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-0-6
Last 10 matches
1010
5/1619/11
0.501.90
1.601.10
4/109/10
1/107/10
8/108/10
5/102/10
2/102/10
6/101/10
6/109/10
4/107/10
4/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Abha at homeal Ittihad away
36
0/33/6
1/32/6
2/31/6
0.332.00
1.001.17
1/35/6
0/34/6
0/32/6
3/35/6
0/31/6
0/31/6
2/31/6
0/34/6
1/35/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Abha: 0.16
Expected Goals
al Ittihad: 2.29
Abha
2%
Draw
11%
al Ittihad
87%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 37%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.3%
1 — Abha
4.80▲
Implied 19%
Edge -17.2%
X
4.20▲
Implied 22%
Edge -11.0%
2 — Al Ittihad
1.57▼
Implied 59%
Edge +28.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Abha · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Abha#18 vs al Faisaly#14
0-1L
24 Oct2026
Neom sc#6 vs Abha#18
2-0L
16 Oct2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs Abha#18
2-1L
13 Sept2026
al Diriyah#8 vs Abha#18
0-0D
09 Sept2026
al Nassr#2 vs Abha#18
2-1L
04 Sept2026
Abha#18 vs al Ettifaq#7
0-1L
28 Aug2026
al Fayha#15 vs Abha#18
3-2L
25 Aug2026
Abha#18 vs al Khaleej#10
1-1D
22 Aug2026
al Ahli sc#5 vs Abha#18
4-0L
16 Aug2026
al Orubah vs Abha#18
0-0D
Team 2 Form
al Ittihad · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
Neftchi Fargona#1 vs al Ittihad#4
1-2W
23 Oct2026
al Ittihad#4 vs al Diriyah#8
2-0W
20 Oct2026
al Ettifaq#7 vs al Ittihad#4
1-4W
13 Oct2026
al Ittihad#4 vs Shabab al Ahli Dubai
1-2L
10 Oct2026
al Hilal#1 vs al Ittihad#4
3-2L
14 Sept2026
Shamal vs al Ittihad#4
1-1D
11 Sept2026
al Faisaly#14 vs al Ittihad#4
1-3W
08 Sept2026
al Ittihad#4 vs al Fayha#15
2-1W
05 Sept2026
al Ittihad#4 vs al Nassr#2
2-1W
29 Aug2026
al Fateh#16 vs al Ittihad#4
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 May2024
Abha#18 vs al Ittihad#4
3-1•
10 Nov2023
al Ittihad#4 vs Abha#18
4-2•
08 May2023
al Ittihad#4 vs Abha#18
4-0•
31 Dec2022
Abha#18 vs al Ittihad#4
1-2•
06 Feb2022
Abha#18 vs al Ittihad#4
0-4•
11 Sept2021
al Ittihad#4 vs Abha#18
6-1•
20 May2021
Abha#18 vs al Ittihad#4
1-2•
14 Jan2021
al Ittihad#4 vs Abha#18
0-1•
04 Aug2020
Abha#18 vs al Ittihad#4
2-1•
27 Oct2019
al Ittihad#4 vs Abha#18
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Abha
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