Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Al Diriyah favourites at 70% (Al Fateh 9%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 0.37 and 5 wins in Al Diriyah's last 10 matches to 1 for Al Fateh. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 28%. Al Diriyah won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Al Fateh have gone 9 matches without a win.