Football · Saudi Professional League · Saudi Arabia
Al Diriyah vs Neom SC
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Neom SC favourites at 50% (Al Diriyah 23%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.27 to 0.73. Bookmakers give Neom SC about 37% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 34%.
Key facts
- Al Diriyah are 8th in Saudi Professional League on 15 points from 11 games; Neom SC are 6th on 19.
Saudi Arabia•Saudi Professional League
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 17:50
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
9/1017/9
0.901.70
1.000.90
6/107/10
2/105/10
6/106/10
3/102/10
4/104/10
4/103/10
7/107/10
3/104/10
3/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
al Diriyah at homeNeom sc away
55
1/51/5
3/51/5
1/53/5
0.600.80
0.801.20
3/53/5
0/51/5
0/50/5
3/54/5
1/51/5
2/51/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
2/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
al Diriyah: 0.73
Expected Goals
Neom sc: 1.27
al Diriyah
23%
Draw
27%
Neom sc
50%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 34%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.2%
1 — Al Diriyah
2.50▲
Implied 36%
Edge -13.3%
X
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge +0.3%
2 — Neom SC
2.45▼
Implied 37%
Edge +13.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
al Diriyah · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
al Ittihad#4 vs al Diriyah#8
2-0L
20 Oct2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Riyadh#11
1-0W
17 Oct2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Taawon#17
1-1D
09 Oct2026
al Nassr#2 vs al Diriyah#8
3-0L
13 Sept2026
al Diriyah#8 vs Abha#18
0-0D
09 Sept2026
al Fateh#16 vs al Diriyah#8
1-2W
03 Sept2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Qadsiah#3
0-2L
29 Aug2026
al Ettifaq#7 vs al Diriyah#8
0-3W
26 Aug2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Kholood#9
1-1D
21 Aug2026
al Hazem#13 vs al Diriyah#8
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Neom sc · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
al Shabab#12 vs Neom sc#6
3-1L
24 Oct2026
Neom sc#6 vs Abha#18
2-0W
20 Oct2026
al Nassr#2 vs Neom sc#6
1-0L
17 Oct2026
Neom sc#6 vs al Ettifaq#7
0-1L
13 Oct2026
Neom sc#6 vs Shab Hadramaut
4-0W
10 Oct2026
al Hazem#13 vs Neom sc#6
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Neom sc#6 vs al Fateh#16
4-2W
07 Sept2026
al Hilal#1 vs Neom sc#6
0-2W
03 Sept2026
Neom sc#6 vs al Khaleej#10
3-0W
28 Aug2026
al Riyadh#11 vs Neom sc#6
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
al Diriyah
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