Daily picks

Estimated probability: 85%. Senegal have scored 18 in their last 10 (mostly vs World Cup opposition) and lead the H2H 6-1-0 over Mozambique; Mozambique lost 7 of their last 10 and conceded 21. Market prices Senegal at 1.18 to win outright. Main risk: Senegal lost 5 of their last 10, though almost all to top World Cup sides; away AFCON qualifiers can be cagey.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 17:58 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Mozambique21%

Draw19%

Senegal60%

Africa Cup of Nations

04:00 PM GMT+3

7 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonriskyClaudeAuto

Stuttgart (GER)

FormLLWWL

Heidenheim (GER)

FormDWWWL

Country: World
League: Club Friendly
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 17:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

Over 2.5 goals

Final result

3-0

Estimated probability: 70%. Model O2.5 79%, xG 2.48 vs 1.70; 8 of Stuttgart's and 8 of Heidenheim's last 10 went over 2.5, and the most recent meeting ended 3-3. Main risk: Club friendly: rotated lineups and low intensity make scoring volatile; H2H overs only 5 of 10.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 19:21 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Stuttgart (GER)55%

Draw18%

Heidenheim (GER)27%

Club Friendly

05:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

KTP

FormWWWWW

Mikkeli

FormWDWLL

Country: Finland
League: Ykkosliiga
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 18:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

KTP to win

Final result

1-1

Estimated probability: 72%. League leaders KTP (18-3-3) are 8-1-1 in their last 10 and 7-2-1 in the H2H vs 7th-placed Mikkeli, who have lost 5 of 10. Model win 82%, xG 2.44 vs 0.47. Main risk: Win-only market with no draw cover; Mikkeli drew 3-3 with KTP in July and no bookmaker price is available.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 20:22 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

KTP82%

Draw12%

Mikkeli6%

Ykkosliiga

06:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostsafeClaudeAuto

KaPa

FormWLDDL

Haka

FormWDLLW

Country: Finland
League: Ykkosliiga
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Haka or draw

Final result

3-2

Estimated probability: 84%. 3rd-placed Haka are 6-2-2 in their last 10 and unbeaten in 3 H2H meetings this year; KaPa (8th, 5-6-13) are 1-2-7. Model Haka-or-draw 93%, xG 2.62 vs 0.62. Main risk: KaPa held Haka 1-1 at this venue in February; no odds to cross-check.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 20:59 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-2
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

KaPa7%

Draw12%

Haka81%

Ykkosliiga

07:00 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Gambia

FormLLDWL

Somalia

FormDDDWW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Gambia or draw

Final result

2-1

Estimated probability: 76%. Somalia have scored just 3 goals in their last 10 (failed to score in 8); Gambia scored in 9 of 10 and hit 7 at Seychelles. Model Gambia-or-draw 74%. Main risk: Gambia concede freely (18 in 10) and there is no H2H or market price.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 20:58 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Gambia52%

Draw22%

Somalia26%

Africa Cup of Nations

07:00 PM GMT+3

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Malawi

FormDLLDW

South Sudan

FormLWLDL

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Malawi or draw

Final result

2-1

Estimated probability: 77%. Malawi are 3-4-3 with 0.7 goals conceded per game and won 2 of 3 H2H vs South Sudan; South Sudan are 1-3-6 and conceded 2.5 per home game. Model 83%. Main risk: Malawi score only 0.9 per game, so one set piece could decide it; no odds available.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

View edit history1

SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 20:55 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Malawi56%

Draw27%

South Sudan17%

Africa Cup of Nations

07:00 PM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Nigeria

FormLDWWD

Madagascar

FormLDWWL

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Nigeria or draw

Final result

2-1

Estimated probability: 82%. Nigeria are 5-4-1 in their last 10 against strong opposition (only loss at Portugal) with 6 clean sheets; model Nigeria-or-draw 79%, xG 2.01 vs 1.10. Main risk: Madagascar are 6-1-3 and won the 2019 AFCON meeting 2-0; no market price.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 20:55 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Nigeria60%

Draw19%

Madagascar21%

Africa Cup of Nations

07:00 PM GMT+3

3 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Girona

FormWLWWL

Albacete

FormLDLLL

Country: Spain
League: LaLiga2
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 21:30 GMT+3

Claude pick

Girona or draw

Final result

2-0

Estimated probability: 84%. Albacete are bottom (21st, 1 point from 6) and 1-2-7 in their last 10; Girona lost just 1 of the last 10 H2H. Model 90%, market implies about 83% for Girona or draw. Main risk: Girona are only 3-4-3 in recent form and have conceded in most games.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:24 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Girona76%

Draw14%

Albacete10%

LaLiga2

09:30 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Inverness

FormDWLLD

Morton

FormLLLDL

Country: Scotland
League: Championship
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Inverness or draw

Final result

2-0

Estimated probability: 82%. Morton are 0-1-6 in the league and 0-1-9 in their last 10; Inverness won the July meeting 1-0 away. Model 91%, market implies about 85% (Inverness 1.47). Main risk: Inverness have just 1 league win in 7 and conceded 6 at Hearts.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:39 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Inverness72%

Draw19%

Morton9%

Championship

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Poland

FormDLLWW

Bosnia & Herzegovina

FormLWLDD

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Poland or draw

Final result

0-0

Estimated probability: 75%. Poland are 5-3-2 in their last 10 and unbeaten in 5 H2H vs Bosnia (4 wins); model Poland-or-draw 74% at home. Main risk: Bosnia are hard to beat (6 draws in last 10) but also rarely win, and there is no market price.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:43 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Poland52%

Draw22%

Bosnia & Herzegovina26%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Algeria

FormLDWLW

Zambia

FormLLDDL

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Algeria or draw

Final result

3-1

Estimated probability: 85%. Algeria beat the Netherlands and drew Uruguay/Austria recently; Zambia are 1-2-7 and failed to score in 6 of 10. Model Algeria-or-draw 86%, xG 2.13 vs 0.80. Main risk: Zambia won the 2017 home meeting and drew 3-3 in 2021; no market price.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:58 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Algeria69%

Draw17%

Zambia14%

Africa Cup of Nations

10:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Burkina Faso

FormDLDWL

Benin

FormLDWWL

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Burkina Faso or draw

Final result

1-1

Estimated probability: 82%. Burkina Faso beat Benin 3-0 last November and are 5-2-3 in their last 10; Benin are 3-1-6 and lost 5-1 to Togo in June. Model 87%. Main risk: Benin drew twice with Burkina in 2017 and no odds are available.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

View edit history1

SettledAutomatic26 Sept 2026, 00:02 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Burkina Faso71%

Draw16%

Benin13%

Africa Cup of Nations

10:00 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Morocco

FormLWDWW

Gabon

FormDLLLL

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Morocco or draw

Final result

2-0

Estimated probability: 86%. Morocco are 6-3-1 in their last 10 including World Cup results vs Brazil and Netherlands, and beat Gabon 5-1 and 4-1 in the last two meetings. Model 81%. Main risk: Gabon score regularly and beat Morocco in 2019; no market price.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:59 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Morocco64%

Draw17%

Gabon19%

Africa Cup of Nations

10:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Dordrecht

FormLLLLL

Almere City

FormWWLWW

Country: Netherlands
League: Eerste Divisie
Match time: Fri, Sep 25, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Almere City or draw

Final result

3-2

Estimated probability: 77%. Almere (2nd, 5-1-1) are 7-1-2 in their last 10 and unbeaten in 10 H2H vs Dordrecht (7 wins); Dordrecht (19th) conceded 18 in their last 5. Model 94%, market about 70%. Main risk: The market is much cooler than the model (Almere only 2.00 to win), so the true edge is uncertain.

Published 25 Sept 2026, 06:13 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic25 Sept 2026, 23:55 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-2
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

Dordrecht6%

Draw10%

Almere City84%

Eerste Divisie

10:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available