Algeria vs Zambia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Algeria favourites at 69% (Zambia 14%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.80 and 5 wins in Algeria's last 10 matches to 1 for Zambia. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 38%. Algeria won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Zambia have gone 8 matches without a win.
• They last met on 25 Mar 2021, when it finished 3-3.