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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Gambia vs Somalia

Friday, 25 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Gambia2-1Somalia
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Gambia favourites at 52% (Somalia 26%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.69 to 1.11 and 4 wins in Gambia's last 10 matches to 2 for Somalia. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 43%. Gambia won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Somalia are unbeaten in 5 matches.
Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
L154d
L213d
D346d
W381d
L385d
W416d
W420d
D508d
W511d
L539d
4W · 2D · 4L
vs
D213d
D217d
D338d
W343d
W347d
L381d
L386d
L417d
L420d
L584d
2W · 3D · 5L
Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Gambia2-1Somalia
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 0-0-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Gambia at homeSomalia away
26
1/22/6
0/22/6
1/22/6
2.500.50
2.000.83
2/22/6
2/21/6
1/20/6
1/23/6
1/22/6
1/23/6
0/24/6
1/21/6
1/21/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Gambia: 1.69
Expected Goals
Somalia: 1.11
Gambia
52%
Draw
22%
Somalia
26%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 43%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Gambia · # = league position now
29 May2026
Iran#3 vs Gambia#2
3-1L
31 Mar2026
Senegal#1 vs Gambia#2
3-1L
18 Nov2025
Kuwait#3 vs Gambia#2
2-2D
14 Oct2025
Seychelles vs Gambia#2
0-7W
10 Oct2025
Gambia#2 vs Gabon#2
3-4L
09 Sept2025
Gambia#2 vs Burundi#4
2-0W
05 Sept2025
Kenya#4 vs Gambia#2
1-3W
09 Jun2025
Uganda#1 vs Gambia#2
1-1D
06 Jun2025
Equatorial Guinea#3 vs Gambia#2
1-2W
09 May2025
Algeria#1 vs Gambia#2
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Somalia · # = league position now
31 Mar2026
Mauritius vs Somalia#3
0-0D
27 Mar2026
Somalia#3 vs Mauritius
0-0D
26 Nov2025
Oman#2 vs Somalia#3
0-0D
21 Nov2025
Bahrain#2 vs Somalia#3
0-1W
17 Nov2025
Bahrain#2 vs Somalia#3
1-2W
14 Oct2025
Somalia#3 vs Mozambique#2
0-1L
09 Oct2025
Somalia#3 vs Algeria#1
0-3L
08 Sept2025
Uganda#1 vs Somalia#3
2-0L
05 Sept2025
Somalia#3 vs Guinea#2
0-3L
25 Mar2025
Botswana#2 vs Somalia#3
2-0L

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