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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Malawi vs South Sudan

Friday, 25 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Malawi2-1South Sudan
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Malawi favourites at 56% (South Sudan 17%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.32 to 0.58 and 3 wins in Malawi's last 10 matches to 1 for South Sudan. It put over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams scoring at 25%. Malawi won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 24 Mar 2021, when Malawi won 1-0.
Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
D144d
L147d
L214d
D217d
W347d
D350d
L383d
W387d
D418d
W421d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
L216d
W219d
L340d
D383d
L386d
D417d
L421d
D585d
L589d
L672d
1W · 3D · 6L
Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Malawi2-1South Sudan
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 2-0-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Malawi at homeSouth Sudan away
26
1/21/6
1/22/6
0/23/6
2.501.00
1.001.00
2/23/6
2/21/6
1/21/6
1/24/6
1/22/6
1/22/6
0/23/6
2/22/6
1/22/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Malawi: 1.32
Expected Goals
South Sudan: 0.58
Malawi
56%
Draw
27%
South Sudan
17%
Over 2.5: 26%
BTTS: 25%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Malawi · # = league position now
09 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-1D
06 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-0L
31 Mar2026
Botswana#2 vs Malawi#3
1-0L
28 Mar2026
Zambia U23 vs Malawi#3
0-0D
18 Nov2025
Lesotho#4 vs Malawi#3
0-1W
15 Nov2025
Lesotho#4 vs Malawi#3
0-0D
13 Oct2025
Sao Tome And Principe vs Malawi#3
1-0L
09 Oct2025
Malawi#3 vs Equatorial Guinea#3
3-0W
08 Sept2025
Malawi#3 vs Liberia#4
2-2D
05 Sept2025
Namibia#3 vs Malawi#3
1-2W
Team 2 Form
South Sudan · # = league position now
29 Mar2026
South Sudan#4 vs Djibouti
0-1L
26 Mar2026
Djibouti vs South Sudan#4
0-4W
25 Nov2025
Syria#2 vs South Sudan#4
2-0L
13 Oct2025
South Sudan#4 vs Togo#3
0-0D
10 Oct2025
South Sudan#4 vs Senegal#1
0-5L
09 Sept2025
Mauritania#3 vs South Sudan#4
0-0D
05 Sept2025
South Sudan#4 vs D.r. Congo#1
1-4L
25 Mar2025
Sudan#3 vs South Sudan#4
1-1D
21 Mar2025
D.r. Congo#1 vs South Sudan#4
1-0L
28 Dec2024
Rwanda#1 vs South Sudan#4
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Mar2021
South Sudan#4 vs Malawi#3
0-1•
13 Nov2019
Malawi#3 vs South Sudan#4
1-0•
27 Nov2015
South Sudan#4 vs Malawi#3
2-0•

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