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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Nigeria vs Madagascar

Friday, 25 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Nigeria2-1Madagascar
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Nigeria favourites at 60% (Madagascar 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.01 to 1.10. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 44%. Nigeria won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 30 Jun 2019, when Madagascar won 2-0.
Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
L143d
D150d
W154d
W158d
D214d
W218d
D287d
D290d
W294d
W299d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
L151d
D214d
W217d
W348d
L384d
W388d
W418d
W422d
L427d
W431d
6W · 1D · 3L
Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Nigeria2-1Madagascar
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0
H2H: 2-0-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nigeria at homeMadagascar away
35
2/32/5
1/31/5
0/32/5
2.001.80
0.002.40
2/34/5
2/32/5
1/31/5
0/35/5
0/33/5
3/30/5
1/31/5
1/34/5
0/34/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nigeria: 2.01
Expected Goals
Madagascar: 1.1
Nigeria
60%
Draw
19%
Madagascar
21%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 44%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Nigeria · # = league position now
10 Jun2026
Portugal#2 vs Nigeria#2
2-1L
03 Jun2026
Poland#4 vs Nigeria#2
2-2D
30 May2026
Jamaica vs Nigeria#2
0-3W
26 May2026
Nigeria#2 vs Zimbabwe#2
2-0W
31 Mar2026
Jordan#4 vs Nigeria#2
2-2D
27 Mar2026
Iran#3 vs Nigeria#2
1-2W
17 Jan2026
Egypt#1 vs Nigeria#2
0-0D
14 Jan2026
Nigeria#2 vs Morocco#1
0-0D
10 Jan2026
Algeria#1 vs Nigeria#2
0-2W
05 Jan2026
Nigeria#2 vs Mozambique#2
4-0W
Team 2 Form
Madagascar · # = league position now
02 Jun2026
Morocco#1 vs Madagascar#4
4-0L
31 Mar2026
Equatorial Guinea#3 vs Madagascar#4
1-1D
28 Mar2026
Kyrgyzstan#4 vs Madagascar#4
2-5W
17 Nov2025
Madagascar#4 vs Equatorial Guinea#3
2-0W
12 Oct2025
Mali#2 vs Madagascar#4
4-1L
08 Oct2025
Comoros#2 vs Madagascar#4
1-2W
08 Sept2025
Madagascar#4 vs Chad
3-1W
04 Sept2025
Madagascar#4 vs Central Africa#4
2-0W
30 Aug2025
Madagascar#4 vs Morocco#1
2-3L
26 Aug2025
Madagascar#4 vs Sudan#3
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
30 Jun2019
Madagascar#4 vs Nigeria#2
2-0•
04 Sept2011
Madagascar#4 vs Nigeria#2
0-2•
05 Sept2010
Nigeria#2 vs Madagascar#4
2-0•

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