Mozambique vs Senegal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Senegal favourites at 60% (Mozambique 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 1.15, 4 wins in Senegal's last 10 matches to 2 for Mozambique and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 55%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Mozambique have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 28 Mar 2023, when Senegal won 1-0.