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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Ethiopia vs Mozambique

Sunday, 15 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Ethiopia favourites at 51% (Mozambique 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 0.99 and 4 wins in Ethiopia's last 10 matches to 2 for Mozambique. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 44%.

Key facts

  • Ethiopia are 4th in Africa Cup of Nations on 0 points from 2 games; Mozambique are 2nd on 4.
  • They last met on 14 Jan 2023, when it finished 0-0.
  • Mozambique concede 2.57 goals a game away from home.
Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
Rank 4 · 0 pts
L27d
L31d
D139d
W142d
W209d
W213d
L379d
W383d
L412d
L416d
4W · 1D · 5L
vs
Rank 2 · 4 pts
W27d
D31d
L139d
L141d
L294d
L299d
W302d
L306d
L313d
D343d
2W · 2D · 6L
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
8/1013/22
0.801.30
1.002.20
6/107/10
1/103/10
6/1010/10
3/106/10
4/100/10
4/103/10
5/108/10
2/107/10
2/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ethiopia at homeMozambique away
57
3/51/7
1/51/7
1/55/7
0.801.00
0.402.57
4/54/7
0/52/7
0/51/7
2/57/7
0/55/7
3/50/7
1/53/7
0/55/7
1/54/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ethiopia: 1.51
Expected Goals
Mozambique: 0.99
Ethiopia
51%
Draw
23%
Mozambique
26%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 44%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Ethiopia · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Senegal#1
0-1L
25 Sept2026
Sudan#3 vs Ethiopia#4
1-0L
09 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-1D
06 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-0W
31 Mar2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Sao Tome And Principe
1-0W
27 Mar2026
Sao Tome And Principe vs Ethiopia#4
0-3W
12 Oct2025
Burkina Faso#2 vs Ethiopia#4
3-1L
08 Oct2025
Ethiopia#4 vs Guinea Bissau#1
1-0W
09 Sept2025
Sierra Leone#4 vs Ethiopia#4
2-0L
05 Sept2025
Egypt#1 vs Ethiopia#4
2-0L
Team 2 Form
Mozambique · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Mozambique#2 vs Sudan#3
4-1W
25 Sept2026
Mozambique#2 vs Senegal#1
1-1D
09 Jun2026
Indonesia#4 vs Mozambique#2
1-0L
07 Jun2026
Oman#2 vs Mozambique#2
4-1L
05 Jan2026
Nigeria#2 vs Mozambique#2
4-0L
31 Dec2025
Mozambique#2 vs Cameroon#1
1-2L
28 Dec2025
Gabon#2 vs Mozambique#2
2-3W
24 Dec2025
Ivory Coast#1 vs Mozambique#2
1-0L
17 Dec2025
Angola#2 vs Mozambique#2
4-1L
17 Nov2025
Chad vs Mozambique#2
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Jan2023
Ethiopia#4 vs Mozambique#2
0-0•

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