Leeds vs Manchester Utd

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Leeds favourites at 64% (Manchester Utd 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.93 and 4 wins in Leeds's last 10 matches to 2 for Manchester Utd. Manchester Utd lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 54%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Manchester Utd have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 12 Aug 2026, when it finished 1-1.