Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Manchester City favourites at 63% (Aston Villa 20%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.48 to 1.35 and 9 wins in Manchester City's last 10 matches to 7 for Aston Villa. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 65%. Aston Villa won 2-1, against the model's 63% for Manchester City.

Key facts before the match

• Aston Villa have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 24 May 2026, when Aston Villa won 2-1.