Football · Premier League · England
Aston Villa vs Fulham
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Aston Villa favourites at 71% (Fulham 13%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.32 to 0.84, Aston Villa sitting 6th in the table to Fulham's 19th, 8 wins in Aston Villa's last 10 matches to 4 for Fulham and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Aston Villa about 49% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Key facts
- Aston Villa have won 4 matches in a row.
- Aston Villa scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Aston Villa have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Aston Villa average 2.8 goals a game at home.
- Fulham failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
England•Premier League
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 8-0-2
Last 10 matches
1010
27/1214/12
2.701.40
1.201.20
10/108/10
8/104/10
8/106/10
4/104/10
2/104/10
0/102/10
9/106/10
9/105/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Aston Villa at homeFulham away
54
3/51/4
1/51/4
1/52/4
2.801.00
1.201.25
5/52/4
4/51/4
2/51/4
4/53/4
2/52/4
1/51/4
0/52/4
5/52/4
4/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Aston Villa: 2.32
Expected Goals
Fulham: 0.84
Aston Villa
71%
Draw
16%
Fulham
13%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.4%
1 — Aston Villa
1.95
Implied 49%
Edge +22.3%
X
3.80▲
Implied 25%
Edge -9.0%
2 — Fulham
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -13.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Aston Villa · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Manchester City#1
2-1W
21 Oct2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Viking#2
3-1W
17 Oct2026
Newcastle#12 vs Aston Villa#6
0-1W
14 Oct2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Fenerbahce#3
6-0W
10 Oct2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Brentford#7
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Sevilla#6 vs Aston Villa#6
1-3W
19 Sept2026
Tottenham#16 vs Aston Villa#6
2-3W
16 Sept2026
Coventry#18 vs Aston Villa#6
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Aston Villa#6 vs Nottingham#17
1-2L
08 Sept2026
Club Brugge kv#2 vs Aston Villa#6
2-3W
Team 2 Form
Fulham · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Fulham#19 vs Hull#11
1-0W
10 Oct2026
Ipswich#10 vs Fulham#19
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Fulham#19 vs Manchester Utd#13
1-1D
15 Sept2026
West Ham#3 vs Fulham#19
2-3W
12 Sept2026
Liverpool#5 vs Fulham#19
0-0D
05 Sept2026
Fulham#19 vs Crystal Palace#14
2-3L
30 Aug2026
Sunderland#20 vs Fulham#19
1-0L
27 Aug2026
Fulham#19 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
3-0W
24 Aug2026
Fulham#19 vs Chelsea#4
2-3L
15 Aug2026
Fulham#19 vs Stuttgart#14
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Apr2026
Fulham#19 vs Aston Villa#6
1-0•
28 Sept2025
Aston Villa#6 vs Fulham#19
3-1•
03 May2025
Aston Villa#6 vs Fulham#19
1-0•
19 Oct2024
Fulham#19 vs Aston Villa#6
1-3•
17 Feb2024
Fulham#19 vs Aston Villa#6
1-2•
12 Nov2023
Aston Villa#6 vs Fulham#19
3-1•
27 Jul2023
Fulham#19 vs Aston Villa#6
0-2•
25 Apr2023
Aston Villa#6 vs Fulham#19
1-0•
20 Oct2022
Fulham#19 vs Aston Villa#6
3-0•
04 Apr2021
Aston Villa#6 vs Fulham#19
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Aston Villa
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