Union Berlin vs Elversberg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Elversberg favourites at 67% (Union Berlin 18%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.77 to 1.39 and 6 wins in Elversberg's last 10 matches to 3 for Union Berlin. It put over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 72%. Union Berlin won 1-0, against the model's 67% for Elversberg.