Football · DFB Pokal · Germany
FC Koln vs Union Berlin
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes FC Koln favourites at 54% (Union Berlin 26%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.91 to 1.26. Union Berlin lead the head-to-head 6-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give FC Koln about 54% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- They last met on 2 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Union Berlin concede 2.8 goals a game away from home.
Germany•DFB Pokal
fc Koln(1)
D0d
L8d
W13d
D21d
L35d
D42d
L50d
W56d
W61d
W77d
Union Berlin(6)
D0d
D7d
W14d
W28d
L36d
L43d
L49d
D56d
W62d
L70d
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-3-6
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1513/24
1.401.30
1.502.40
8/107/10
5/103/10
9/107/10
4/106/10
1/103/10
2/103/10
8/107/10
7/106/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
fc Koln at homeUnion Berlin away
55
3/52/5
2/51/5
0/52/5
1.601.20
1.002.80
4/53/5
3/51/5
1/51/5
4/54/5
1/53/5
1/51/5
1/52/5
3/53/5
4/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
fc Koln: 1.91
Expected Goals
Union Berlin: 1.26
fc Koln
54%
Draw
20%
Union Berlin
26%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — FC Koln
1.75▼
Implied 54%
Edge +0.4%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -4.1%
2 — Union Berlin
4.20▲
Implied 22%
Edge +3.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
fc Koln · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
fc Koln#12 vs Schalke#15
0-0D
16 Oct2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs fc Koln#12
1-0L
11 Oct2026
fc Koln#12 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Viktoria Koln vs fc Koln#12
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs fc Koln#12
2-1L
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#12 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs fc Koln#12
4-1L
29 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-2W
24 Aug2026
Wurzburger Kickers vs fc Koln#12
1-2W
08 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Union Berlin · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Augsburg#10 vs Union Berlin#17
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Dortmund#2
0-0D
10 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Elversberg#6
1-0W
26 Sept2026
Rijeka#5 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1W
18 Sept2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Union Berlin#17
7-0L
11 Sept2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Schalke#15
1-3L
05 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Union Berlin#17
4-0L
29 Aug2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
3-3D
23 Aug2026
Braunschweig#17 vs Union Berlin#17
2-4W
15 Aug2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Ipswich
2-4L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 May2026
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-2•
20 Dec2025
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1•
11 May2024
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
3-2•
20 Dec2023
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-0•
04 Mar2023
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
0-0•
11 Sept2022
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1•
01 Apr2022
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
1-0•
07 Nov2021
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
2-2•
13 Mar2021
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-1•
22 Nov2020
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
fc Koln
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