Football · Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin vs FC Koln
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes FC Koln favourites at 49% (Union Berlin 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 1.37 and FC Koln sitting 12th in the table to Union Berlin's 17th. Union Berlin lead the head-to-head 6-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give FC Koln about 36% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- They last met on 2 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- FC Koln concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Germany•Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-3-1
Last 10 matches
1010
13/2414/15
1.301.40
2.401.50
7/108/10
3/105/10
7/109/10
6/104/10
3/101/10
3/102/10
7/108/10
6/107/10
5/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Union Berlin at homefc Koln away
55
1/51/5
2/51/5
2/53/5
1.401.20
2.002.00
4/54/5
2/52/5
1/50/5
3/55/5
3/53/5
2/50/5
1/51/5
3/54/5
3/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Union Berlin: 1.37
Expected Goals
fc Koln: 1.8
Union Berlin
30%
Draw
21%
fc Koln
49%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.5%
1 — Union Berlin
2.50
Implied 38%
Edge -7.9%
X
3.70▼
Implied 26%
Edge -4.6%
2 — FC Koln
2.60▼
Implied 36%
Edge +12.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Union Berlin · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Augsburg#10 vs Union Berlin#17
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Dortmund#2
0-0D
10 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Elversberg#6
1-0W
26 Sept2026
Rijeka#5 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1W
18 Sept2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Union Berlin#17
7-0L
11 Sept2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Schalke#15
1-3L
05 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs Union Berlin#17
4-0L
29 Aug2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
3-3D
23 Aug2026
Braunschweig#17 vs Union Berlin#17
2-4W
15 Aug2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Ipswich
2-4L
Team 2 Form
fc Koln · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
fc Koln#12 vs Schalke#15
0-0D
16 Oct2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs fc Koln#12
1-0L
11 Oct2026
fc Koln#12 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Viktoria Koln vs fc Koln#12
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Hamburger sv#9 vs fc Koln#12
2-1L
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#12 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs fc Koln#12
4-1L
29 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-2W
24 Aug2026
Wurzburger Kickers vs fc Koln#12
1-2W
08 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 May2026
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-2•
20 Dec2025
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1•
11 May2024
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
3-2•
20 Dec2023
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-0•
04 Mar2023
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
0-0•
11 Sept2022
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
0-1•
01 Apr2022
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
1-0•
07 Nov2021
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
2-2•
13 Mar2021
Union Berlin#17 vs fc Koln#12
2-1•
22 Nov2020
fc Koln#12 vs Union Berlin#17
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Union Berlin
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