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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Elversberg vs Darmstadt

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Elversberg favourites at 48% (Darmstadt 33%, draw 19%). That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Elversberg about 66% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 63%.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Elversberg's last 10 matches and 7 of Darmstadt's.
  • Darmstadt failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
  • They last met on 25 Apr 2026, when it finished 3-3.
  • Darmstadt concede 2.33 goals a game away from home.
Germany•DFB Pokal
L0d
W7d
L14d
L30d
D34d
L41d
W49d
W56d
W63d
W70d
5W · 1D · 4L
vs
D1d
L6d
W14d
W24d
L36d
W43d
L49d
L55d
W62d
L69d
4W · 1D · 5L
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 4-4-2
Last 10 matches
1010
20/1915/17
2.001.50
1.901.70
7/105/10
5/104/10
9/108/10
6/103/10
1/102/10
3/105/10
8/107/10
8/107/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Elversberg at homeDarmstadt away
46
3/42/6
0/40/6
1/44/6
3.001.67
2.002.33
4/43/6
3/42/6
3/41/6
4/45/6
3/43/6
0/41/6
0/43/6
4/45/6
4/42/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Elversberg: 2.16
Expected Goals
Darmstadt: 1.78
Elversberg
48%
Draw
19%
Darmstadt
33%
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 63%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.0%
1 — Elversberg
1.42▼
Implied 66%
Edge -17.8%
X
4.90▲
Implied 19%
Edge -0.1%
2 — Darmstadt
6.20▲
Implied 15%
Edge +17.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Elversberg · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs Elversberg#6
4-0L
17 Oct2026
Elversberg#6 vs Augsburg#10
4-3W
10 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Elversberg#6
1-0L
24 Sept2026
Mannheim vs Elversberg#6
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Schalke#15 vs Elversberg#6
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Elversberg#6 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-2L
05 Sept2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Elversberg#6
3-4W
29 Aug2026
Elversberg#6 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
3-2W
22 Aug2026
Duisburg vs Elversberg#6
1-3W
15 Aug2026
Elversberg#6 vs Lorient#7
4-1W
Team 2 Form
Darmstadt · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Darmstadt#16 vs St. Pauli#7
0-0D
18 Oct2026
Karlsruher sc#14 vs Darmstadt#16
4-0L
10 Oct2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Cottbus#8
3-1W
30 Sept2026
San Antonio#7 vs Darmstadt#16
0-7W
18 Sept2026
Wolfsburg#3 vs Darmstadt#16
5-1L
11 Sept2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Arminia Bielefeld#9
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Kaiserslautern#5 vs Darmstadt#16
3-0L
30 Aug2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Hannover#15
0-1L
23 Aug2026
Jena vs Darmstadt#16
1-2W
16 Aug2026
sg Dynamo Dresden#11 vs Darmstadt#16
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Apr2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
3-3•
30 Nov2025
Elversberg#6 vs Darmstadt#16
0-0•
08 Feb2025
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
0-3•
31 Aug2024
Elversberg#6 vs Darmstadt#16
4-0•
13 Oct2023
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
4-2•
28 Jun2022
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
1-1•
20 Dec2013
Elversberg#6 vs Darmstadt#16
0-3•
20 Jul2013
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
0-0•
20 Apr2007
Elversberg#6 vs Darmstadt#16
2-0•
13 Oct2006
Darmstadt#16 vs Elversberg#6
1-3•

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