Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dortmund favourites at 84% (Union Berlin 6%, draw 10%). That rests on expected goals of 3.00 to 0.69, 6 wins in Dortmund's last 10 matches to 4 for Union Berlin and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 47%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 10%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 24 Jan 2026, when Dortmund won 3-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.