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Football · Bundesliga · Germany

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Bayern Munich favourites at 62% (Dortmund 21%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 1.41 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Bayern Munich about 72% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 68%.

Key facts

  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 10 matches.
  • Bayern Munich have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • Bayern Munich average 5 goals a game at home.
  • Dortmund kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Bayern Munich are 1st in Bundesliga on 14 points from 6 games; Dortmund are 2nd on 14.
Germany•Bundesliga
Bayern Munich(6)
Rank 1 · 14 pts
D3d
W7d
D11d
D14d
W36d
W41d
W44d
D49d
W52d
W57d
6W · 4D · 0L
vs
Dortmund(1)
Rank 2 · 14 pts
W4d
D7d
L10d
D15d
W35d
W42d
W46d
W49d
W53d
W56d
7W · 2D · 1L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-3-1
Last 10 matches
1010
36/1121/8
3.602.10
1.100.80
9/108/10
9/107/10
7/105/10
3/103/10
3/105/10
1/102/10
9/107/10
9/106/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bayern Munich at homeDortmund away
56
4/54/6
1/51/6
0/51/6
5.001.83
0.800.67
5/54/6
5/53/6
4/52/6
3/53/6
1/51/6
2/53/6
0/52/6
5/53/6
3/52/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bayern Munich: 2.52
Expected Goals
Dortmund: 1.41
Bayern Munich
62%
Draw
17%
Dortmund
21%
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 68%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.8%
1 — Bayern Munich
1.32▲
Implied 72%
Edge -9.6%
X
6.20▼
Implied 15%
Edge +1.8%
2 — Dortmund
7.20▼
Implied 13%
Edge +7.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bayern Munich · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Arsenal#2
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs rb Leipzig#7
6-1W
13 Oct2026
Viking#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
3-3D
10 Oct2026
Augsburg#10 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-2D
18 Sept2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Union Berlin#17
7-0W
13 Sept2026
Elversberg#6 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-2W
10 Sept2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Bodo/glimt#1
5-0W
05 Sept2026
Schalke#15 vs Bayern Munich#1
0-0D
02 Sept2026
Vfl Osnabruck#12 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-4W
28 Aug2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs Stuttgart#14
5-1W
Team 2 Form
Dortmund · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Sabah fc#1 vs Dortmund#2
1-2W
17 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Dortmund#2
0-0D
14 Oct2026
Bodo/glimt#1 vs Dortmund#2
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Dortmund#2
0-1W
12 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Paderborn#16
3-0W
08 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Villarreal#12
3-2W
05 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Dortmund#2
2-3W
01 Sept2026
Hebc Hamburg vs Dortmund#2
0-5W
29 Aug2026
Dortmund#2 vs Hamburger sv#9
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
22 Aug2026
Dortmund#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-2•
28 Feb2026
Dortmund#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-3•
18 Oct2025
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
2-1•
12 Apr2025
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
2-2•
30 Nov2024
Dortmund#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
1-1•
30 Mar2024
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
0-2•
04 Nov2023
Dortmund#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
0-4•
01 Apr2023
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
4-2•
08 Oct2022
Dortmund#2 vs Bayern Munich#1
2-2•
23 Apr2022
Bayern Munich#1 vs Dortmund#2
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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