Football · DFB Pokal · Germany
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Dortmund favourites at 63% (Werder Bremen 20%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 1.27, 7 wins in Dortmund's last 10 matches to 4 for Werder Bremen and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Dortmund about 70% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Key facts
- Dortmund kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 9 Oct 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Werder Bremen concede 2.67 goals a game away from home.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Dortmund(6)
W4d
D7d
L10d
D15d
W35d
W42d
W46d
W49d
W53d
W56d
W0d
D7d
D15d
L22d
W35d
D42d
W49d
L55d
W63d
L70d
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-3-1
Last 10 matches
1010
21/818/22
2.101.80
0.802.20
8/108/10
7/106/10
5/109/10
3/106/10
5/101/10
2/102/10
7/109/10
6/108/10
4/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Dortmund at homeWerder Bremen away
46
3/42/6
1/42/6
0/42/6
2.501.67
1.002.67
4/45/6
4/43/6
2/42/6
2/45/6
2/44/6
2/41/6
0/41/6
3/45/6
2/44/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Dortmund: 2.37
Expected Goals
Werder Bremen: 1.27
Dortmund
63%
Draw
17%
Werder Bremen
20%
Over 2.5: 69%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.1%
1 — Dortmund
1.35▲
Implied 70%
Edge -6.8%
X
5.40▼
Implied 17%
Edge -0.5%
2 — Werder Bremen
7.40▼
Implied 13%
Edge +7.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Dortmund · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Sabah fc#1 vs Dortmund#2
1-2W
17 Oct2026
Union Berlin#17 vs Dortmund#2
0-0D
14 Oct2026
Bodo/glimt#1 vs Dortmund#2
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Stuttgart#14 vs Dortmund#2
0-1W
12 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Paderborn#16
3-0W
08 Sept2026
Dortmund#2 vs Villarreal#12
3-2W
05 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Dortmund#2
2-3W
01 Sept2026
Hebc Hamburg vs Dortmund#2
0-5W
29 Aug2026
Dortmund#2 vs Hamburger sv#9
2-0W
Team 2 Form
Werder Bremen · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Mainz#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-3W
17 Oct2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
7-0L
19 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Augsburg#10
3-2W
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#12 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs rb Leipzig#7
3-1W
30 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1L
22 Aug2026
Luneburger Hansa vs Werder Bremen#8
0-3W
15 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Auxerre#13
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2•
16 May2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Dortmund#2
0-2•
13 Jan2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
3-0•
25 Jan2025
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2•
31 Aug2024
Werder Bremen#8 vs Dortmund#2
0-0•
09 Mar2024
Werder Bremen#8 vs Dortmund#2
1-2•
20 Oct2023
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-0•
11 Feb2023
Werder Bremen#8 vs Dortmund#2
0-2•
20 Aug2022
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-3•
18 Apr2021
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Dortmund
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