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Football · Bundesliga · Germany

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Werder Bremen favourites at 42% (Hoffenheim 38%, draw 20%). That rests on Werder Bremen sitting 8th in the table to Hoffenheim's 13th. Hoffenheim lead the head-to-head 8-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Werder Bremen about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 64%.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Werder Bremen's last 10 matches and 9 of Hoffenheim's.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Werder Bremen's last 10 matches and 7 of Hoffenheim's.
  • They last met on 9 May 2026, when Hoffenheim won 1-0.
Germany•Bundesliga
Werder Bremen(2)
Rank 8 · 9 pts
D7d
D15d
L22d
W35d
D42d
W49d
L55d
W63d
L70d
D77d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
Hoffenheim(8)
Rank 13 · 6 pts
W2d
W6d
L9d
L14d
L34d
L37d
W42d
L49d
L56d
W63d
4W · 0D · 6L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-0-8
Last 10 matches
1010
17/2220/19
1.702.00
2.201.90
8/109/10
6/108/10
9/108/10
6/106/10
1/102/10
2/101/10
9/1010/10
8/109/10
7/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Werder Bremen at homeHoffenheim away
55
2/52/5
2/50/5
1/53/5
2.001.80
1.601.80
4/54/5
4/53/5
2/51/5
5/54/5
3/53/5
0/51/5
1/51/5
4/54/5
4/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Werder Bremen: 1.96
Expected Goals
Hoffenheim: 1.86
Werder Bremen
42%
Draw
20%
Hoffenheim
38%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 64%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.9%
1 — Werder Bremen
2.90▼
Implied 33%
Edge +9.1%
X
4.00
Implied 24%
Edge -3.8%
2 — Hoffenheim
2.20▲
Implied 43%
Edge -5.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Werder Bremen · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
09 Oct2026
Dortmund#2 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Werder Bremen#8
7-0L
19 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Augsburg#10
3-2W
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#12 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs rb Leipzig#7
3-1W
30 Aug2026
Freiburg#3 vs Werder Bremen#8
4-1L
22 Aug2026
Luneburger Hansa vs Werder Bremen#8
0-3W
15 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Auxerre#13
0-1L
08 Aug2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Paderborn#16
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Hoffenheim · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Lyon#1
3-0W
18 Oct2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-2W
15 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Besiktas#6
2-3L
10 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Hamburger sv#9
2-3L
20 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-1L
17 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-0L
12 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Stuttgart#14
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Dortmund#2
2-3L
29 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-2L
22 Aug2026
Aue vs Hoffenheim#13
0-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 May2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-0•
27 Jan2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
0-2•
01 Aug2025
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
0-3•
01 Aug2025
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
0-1•
16 Feb2025
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-3•
29 Sept2024
Hoffenheim#13 vs Werder Bremen#8
3-4•
03 Mar2024
Hoffenheim#13 vs Werder Bremen#8
2-1•
07 Oct2023
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-3•
02 Apr2023
Werder Bremen#8 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-2•
07 Oct2022
Hoffenheim#13 vs Werder Bremen#8
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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