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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Hoffenheim favourites at 44% (Holstein Kiel 35%, draw 21%). That rests on 4 wins in Hoffenheim's last 10 matches to 2 for Holstein Kiel and 4 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Hoffenheim about 64% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 69%.

Key facts

  • They last met on 29 Jul 2026, when Hoffenheim won 3-1.
  • 4 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.
Germany•DFB Pokal
Holstein Kiel(0)
D8d
L15d
W21d
D35d
L41d
D49d
L55d
W63d
D71d
D77d
2W · 5D · 3L
vs
Hoffenheim(4)
W2d
W6d
L9d
L14d
L34d
L37d
W42d
L49d
L56d
W63d
4W · 0D · 6L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-0-4
Last 10 matches
1010
12/1220/19
1.202.00
1.201.90
6/109/10
5/108/10
8/108/10
4/106/10
2/102/10
4/101/10
7/1010/10
4/109/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Holstein Kiel at homeHoffenheim away
55
1/52/5
4/50/5
0/53/5
1.601.80
1.201.80
4/54/5
3/53/5
1/51/5
4/54/5
2/53/5
1/51/5
1/51/5
3/54/5
4/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Holstein Kiel: 1.47
Expected Goals
Hoffenheim: 1.66
Holstein Kiel
35%
Draw
21%
Hoffenheim
44%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 69%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.0%
1 — Holstein Kiel
5.80▲
Implied 16%
Edge +18.9%
X
4.80▲
Implied 19%
Edge +1.5%
2 — Hoffenheim
1.45▼
Implied 64%
Edge -20.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Holstein Kiel · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-0D
09 Oct2026
Braunschweig#17 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Viborg#3
3-1W
19 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Vfl Osnabruck#12
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Heidenheim#6 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Nurnberg#2
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Magdeburg#4 vs Holstein Kiel#18
2-0L
22 Aug2026
Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-2W
14 Aug2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs St. Pauli#7
2-2D
08 Aug2026
Darmstadt#16 vs Holstein Kiel#18
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Hoffenheim · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Lyon#1
3-0W
18 Oct2026
b. Monchengladbach#18 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-2W
15 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Besiktas#6
2-3L
10 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Hamburger sv#9
2-3L
20 Sept2026
Paderborn#16 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-1L
17 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#5 vs Hoffenheim#13
2-0L
12 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Stuttgart#14
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Dortmund#2
2-3L
29 Aug2026
fc Koln#12 vs Hoffenheim#13
3-2L
22 Aug2026
Aue vs Hoffenheim#13
0-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
29 Jul2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Holstein Kiel#18
3-1•
18 Jan2025
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hoffenheim#13
1-3•
24 Aug2024
Hoffenheim#13 vs Holstein Kiel#18
3-2•
26 Oct2021
Hoffenheim#13 vs Holstein Kiel#18
5-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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